@awnlee jawkingExtremely long reply.
TLDR: No one has a right to use publishing services, to speak at conferences, etc, which they do not own, control, fund, etc. That is not a 'right'. Refusing the use of such services, canceling speaker engagements, etc is not denying one's rights.
Everyone has a right to complain about speech they find offensive, to leave platforms / cancel conference registrations / etc if they host such speech, and to encourage others to do likewise (though complainers, too, have no right to use any specific platform for such complaining), and they have no right to threaten illegal action (violence, etc), only legal consequences (loss of subscribers / attendees / revenue, public shaming, etc). People who threaten illegal action should be held liable for doing so.
That is how the marketplace of ideas works. Trying to ban complaining and group action denies an actual right to protect a nonexistent right, which is absurd. Trying to claim businesses should not use their resources in ways which benefit them, and shouldn't think twice before offering a platform to speakers when offering that platform may harm their business, is also absurd.
END TLDR
In this country, everyone who reads a newspaper or watches television news will be aware of the controversy, and the majority will be in agreement with her opinions.
In the United States, statistics tell us that only a small minority can name more than one or two supreme court justices, either of their own senators, or a host of other people active in national politics, nor name more than a few of the salient issues of the day. I am fairly certain that the great majority of people will have absolutely no idea of her opinions.
I know people who are much better informed than that (they are, in fact, political and news junkies) and also fans of JKR's writing who made it many years without being aware of her opinions.
People who take a strong personal interest in a topic often wildly overestimate how many in the general population are in the least concerned about it. This strikes me as one of those cases. I would honestly be surprised if a majority of Americans could identify JKR as 'the author of the Harry Potter books', much less have a clue of her views on any social issue.
Yes, I'm very cynical about how many people are politically aware, but that cynicism comes from years of paying attention to how little most people pay attention to anything beyond entertainment television, popular films, and popular music.
On the last part of your comment, as well as:
Opinion polls which weight the people whose opinions they seek against the general population find a clear majority supporting JKR's views. After all, she is pro-trans, only not at the expense of protections for women and children.
I refuse to get into the specific popularity or lack thereof of her views (though I will reiterate my stance that it's largely unknown and unknowable at the current time); that takes this much too close to the 'no politics' rule, and the discussion of limiting speech in general is much more interesting than a discussion of JKR's views. Indeed, it would be better if we were not discussing specific current-day people at all, because that risks locking the thread.
I think that's unlikely. Most people who search for terms like 'gender critical' will be trans activists.
If 'most people who search for term X' are opposed to term X, that tells me that there's far more active opposition to X than support for X. It is thus likely platforms will be more prone to consider removing people who support X (when asked to) than if there was more active support than opposition of X. If, in fact, X is popular with the 'silent majority', those who support X should be trying to inform the 'silent majority' that X is being threatened and thus mobilize them to action, and/or mobilize support for 'pure free speech'. People so mobilized, in turn, should inform the platform they would lose more from 'deplatforming' than from not 'deplatforming'.
This is the marketplace of ideas at work, in other words. Pressure campaigns work both ways. If only one side can credibly mount one, that tells the platform something.
It takes only one bomb threat or one death threat to get a literary meeting cancelled.
Depending on one's risk tolerance and security situation, possibly. If a single bomb threat or death threat could shut down the ALA convention or the rallies of nearly any politician across the spectrum, I would imagine they would just stop having them given the number of zealots who oppose the ALA and nearly every politician. Anyone who makes such a threat should be prosecuted for it. But that statement is not actually a claim that there has ever been such a threat in the case of JKR. Has there?
If a threat or two were sufficient to stop speech, no controversial people anywhere would be speaking at conferences or being published, yet I can name hundreds of controversial people (including JKR) who have no particular difficulty finding places to be published or conferences at which to speak. Apparently, credible bomb or death threats are not all that common, and not-so-credible ones are not all that successful.
In one more attempt to bring this discussion back to the real point of this thread: I am strenuously opposed to the oxymoronic view that one must actively limit the right of free speech and of free association of people who dislike the views of someone else in order to 'protect' that person's 'right' to use platforms they do not own or control to express their 'free speech'. This makes no more sense to me than saying McDonalds must allow someone to shout whatever views they want for as long as they want without removing them, while anyone who so much as complains to the management is 'bad' and McDonalds may do nothing no matter how many people complain.
No speaker has the right to speak at a conference someone else puts on. No person has the right to be published by any business they do not control. No person has the right to use any privately-held platform.
Denying others the right (which they do actually have) to complain about a speaker they find offensive, threaten to take their business elsewhere, actually take their business elsewhere, and so forth, all to protect 'rights' which do not and have never existed, is ridiculous.
There is no right to make bomb threats, death threats, other threats of violence, and so forth, and I'm also strenuously opposed to those.
Free speech is not consequence-free. If someone is offensive, private businesses may not wish to do business with that person. That is entirely their right.
Mind you, my opinion would be reversed if we were actually talking about true 'free speech' and actual suppression of it. We are not. We are talking about Person Y's nonexistent 'right' to be able to use privately-held platforms (that Y does not own) and speak at privately-held conferences (that Y does not fund or control) without anyone being able to threaten that platform, conference, etc with loss of revenue, public criticism, etc if Y is given that access.
This, once again, is the marketplace of ideas at work. I understand that you don't like that. Sometimes I don't like how it plays out, either. But it's how things are supposed to work. If your views are popular enough to create a community, or if you have resources, you will always be able to 'publish'. If your views are sufficiently unpopular or you can't afford to self-publish, you will not and will have to resort to actual free speech - the soapbox in the public square. The exact same thing is true for people on both sides of the issue - if those who oppose an author are of small numbers, platforms will laugh at them and ignore their complaints.
Let the 'deplatformed' speaker mobilize a larger group of supporters to pressure the 'offending' platform the other way, or let them take their 'highly popular' views to another platform, which will thus succeed behind the wildest dreams of the platform which dared to 'deplatform' the speaker.