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2000's do over

kungfufool45 🚫

I love do over stories but as a kid who was born in 2001 its hard for me to relate. I mean i don't only read stories because i can relate to them but it's nice when i can. that's not the point though i'm wondering if there are any where the main character get's sent back and a bulk of the story takes place in the 2000's

Dominions Son 🚫

@kungfufool45

i'm wondering if there are any where the main character get's sent back and a bulk of the story takes place in the 2000's

Not likely. In my experience, though I haven't read a lot of do-overs (not my thing), the typical do-over has a 50+ MC going back to high school, so you are looking at a 30+ year regression. It's only 2020. A 30+ year regression from today puts you back to the late 1980s

I've not seen a do over done where the MC starts out in the future.

Replies:   Keet  BlacKnight
Keet 🚫

@Dominions Son

I've not seen a do over done where the MC starts out in the future.

In the future it can't be a do-over since there's nothing do 'do over'. You can get close by making the character young again so he can start a new life again but not do it over again.
There is such a story here on SOL, have to look it up.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son 🚫

@Keet

In the future it can't be a do-over since there's nothing do 'do over'.

That's not what I was saying.

A do-over typically has the MC start the story late in life then goes back to, usually, mid to late teens.

When I said starting in the future, I mean the MC at end of life in the future relative to real life present day, so the MC is at end of life in 2040, then gets sent back to re-live his teen years in the early 2000s.

Why wouldn't that be a do-over?

Replies:   Keet
Keet 🚫
Updated:

@Dominions Son

When I said starting in the future, I mean the MC at end of life in the future relative to real life present day, so the MC is at end of life in 2040, then gets sent back to re-live his teen years in the early 2000s.

Yep, didn't think of that possibility. You're right.

By-the-way, found that 'future' story I mentioned:
Author: Wandering Lanes
Story: Small World

BlacKnight 🚫

@Dominions Son

I've not seen a do over done where the MC starts out in the future.

rlfj's A Fresh Start starts out in what was, at original publishing, more than a decade in the future, and is still a couple years from now. It jumps back 54 years to the MC's youth in 1968, though.

aroslav's Transmogrification of Jacob Hopkins series (5th and last book, Double Team, currently posting), is a kind of skewed do-over, where the main character goes from being an 80-year-old man in 2018 to being his 14-year-old self... in 2018. In an alternate universe, where a lot of the people around him are also versions of people he knew in his original youth in the 1950s.

It starts out as a pretty typical do-over, minus the clichΓ© routes to wealth and power, but has gradually turned into a political story revolving around the big difference between Jacob's original universe and his new one, with "the old man" having faded to very occasional, mostly ignored, mumbling in the background.

Remus2 🚫

@kungfufool45

So your first recollections will be somewhere in 2004-2005 time frame. I'm unaware of any stories that start in that frame of reference, but it should be possible. Fifteen years is a sufficient amount of time to work with.

There are stories that worked within 15-20 year span.

PotomacBob 🚫

A sort-of doOver is A Stitch in Time by Marsh Alien. In it, the MC relives 3 years of his high school life, trying to repair what he did the first time through, which he does not remember.

irvmull 🚫

You gotta remember that most of the do-over stories are written by people who have looked back on the things they did (and didn't do) with regrets.

For someone born in 2001, they will start looking back with regrets around 5 years from now, when they find out how hard it is going to be to pay those college loans on a burger-flipper's salary.

Replies:   Dominions Son  Mushroom
Dominions Son 🚫

@irvmull

when they find out how hard it is going to be to pay those college loans on a burger-flipper's salary.

They'll just burn shit down until the government forgives their student loan debt.

Replies:   PotomacBob
PotomacBob 🚫

@Dominions Son

They'll just burn shit down until the government forgives their student loan debt.

Writers wouldn't do that. Just read how joyous those on SOL are. Not a grump among them.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son 🚫

@PotomacBob

Not a grump among them.

Yeah right! Now Get Off My Lawn!

Mushroom 🚫

@irvmull

You gotta remember that most of the do-over stories are written by people who have looked back on the things they did (and didn't do) with regrets.

This is true of almost any "Period Piece". And the best ones tend to be from people who have actually lived through the period they are talking about. Either that, or have done a lot of research into the period.

And the 2000's? What is there really interesting there? We already had porn on demand, 24-7 access to almost anything sexual, birth control available in Junior High by just asking for it.

Now I might see such at this point into the early 1990's, but not to the 2000's. In fact, to most authors I would imagine that is a rather "dead period", in which nothing of real interest happens to write around. Kind of like talking about most of the 1960's. It is largely just like the 1950's, until the last year or two.

Replies:   irvmull
irvmull 🚫
Updated:

@Mushroom

Kind of like talking about most of the 1960's. It is largely just like the 1950's, until the last year or two.

Dead.

Well, except for Kennedy, Martin King, the Beatles, cars, mini-skirts. Mini-skirts and cars!. Color TV. Building a fall-out shelter. Viet Nam. The draft.

Nothing much happening there.

Replies:   richardshagrin  Mushroom
richardshagrin 🚫

@irvmull

Nothing much happening there.

Highschool, college, your first job after graduation, getting married, buying a house. Somewhere in there buying a car and a lot of other stuff so you can live independently from your folks. Maybe a couple of years in the military. Yeah, nothing happens in the 1960s.

Replies:   irvmull  Dominions Son
irvmull 🚫
Updated:

@richardshagrin

Somewhere in there buying a car and a lot of other stuff so you can live independently from your folks. Maybe a couple of years in the military. Yeah, nothing happens in the 1960s.

Primarily freedom, and not only for young people just leaving home. There was suddenly enough money, a new(ish) car, cheap gas, and time for many people to hit those new Interstates and visit places they'd only heard about. Clean motels and safe food, courtesy of Howard Johnson. Airconditioning. In cars, too! A chance to travel and see things that only rich people could prior to the war. Lucy and Desi bought a trailer....

Dominions Son 🚫

@richardshagrin

Highschool, college, your first job after graduation, getting married, buying a house. Somewhere in there buying a car and a lot of other stuff so you can live independently from your folks. Maybe a couple of years in the military. Yeah, nothing happens in the 1960s.

None of those things happened to me in the 1960s. Of course, I was born in September of 1969.

Replies:   irvmull  anim8ed
irvmull 🚫

@Dominions Son

None of those things happened to me in the 1960s. Of course, I was born in September of 1969

Excuses, excuses!

anim8ed 🚫

@Dominions Son

Let's see, in September of 1969 I had just started second grade in lovely San Diego. I do remember the long straight hair, peasant skirts and peace beads on the high school kids. Of course being a military brat my hair was high and tight and I wore button-up shirts.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@anim8ed

Let's see, in September of 1969 I had just started second grade in lovely San Diego. I do remember the long straight hair, peasant skirts and peace beads on the high school kids. Of course being a military brat my hair was high and tight and I wore button-up shirts.

And as you say, California.

Try that in most areas of the country back then, and you likely would have had a different reception if you had long hair.

I remember California then also. And I also remember Idaho and Oregon. Where one of the first things my grandfather did when I was dropped off with him for the summer was get me a crew cut.

An era where some military members in the Reserves or Guard were sometimes actually allowed to wear "short hair wigs", as being military was not popular, so some would grow their hair out a bit, and hide it under a wig during drill weekends.

Mushroom 🚫
Updated:

@irvmull

Well, except for Kennedy, Martin King, the Beatles, cars, mini-skirts. Mini-skirts and cars!. Color TV. Building a fall-out shelter. Viet Nam. The draft.

Actually, the Kennedy Administration was little different than that of Ike. Same culture, same general trends.

And the Early Beatles were big in pop music, but culturally they had no real impact larger than say Elvis or Holley until Revolver and Sgt. Pepper. Until the late 1960's, you could compare 1966 to 1961 and other than different movies and a few more TV shows now in color (Get Smart, Gilligan's Island, F-Troop), not much had really changed.

And "Mini Skirts" were not even original to the 1960's, that actually started in the 1940's. And it was not until the very end of the decade with the "Microskirt" that it was really much different than what had been around for well over a decade before that.

Fallout shelters, the Draft, Dr. King, that was all 50's dude. Dr. King first rose to national prominence in the 1955 Montgomery Bus Strike. Elvis was drafted in 1956.

Major debate over Vietnam started in the late 1960's after almost 20 years of conflict there. As I said, most people really can not tell the difference, and very often mix the two together and do not even realize it. You are thinking those are all 1960's, but those all started in the 1950's (or earlier).

Heck, not even Vietnam was original to the 1960's. Truman got us involved there in 1950 (and we actually first got involved under FDR in the 1940's). And Color TV also started in the 1950's. It did not become "Big" until 1965 when NBC became the "Peacock Network", but it had already been around for over a decade by then. Superman, Cisco Kid, Bonanza, and Lone Ranger were all color shows back in the 1950's.

And Fallout Shelters were very much a 1950's thing. By the 1960's they were already a joke, as ICBMs had largely made them pointless.

Replies:   irvmull
irvmull 🚫
Updated:

@Mushroom

Actually, the Kennedy Administration was little different than that of Ike. Same culture, same general trends.

I'm surprised that you think the assassination of a President is "little different" from Ike's presidency. That wasn't the 50's, it was 1963.

Fallout shelters, the Draft, Dr. King, that was all 50's dude. Dr. King first rose to national prominence in the 1955 Montgomery Bus Strike. Elvis was drafted in 1956.

Dr. King's assassination was in 1968, not the 50's. Before that, he was just another "agitator".

The draft sure as hell affected people in the 1960's. In the 1950's people, as you said, "debated" over Viet Nam, and about 1,000 "military advisors" were sent there. Nobody was concerned about being drafted and sent there. It wasn't until LBJ sent half a million troops over there (1967) that it really screwed up a lot of lives.

Your assertion that the 1960's were "pretty much like the 1950's" is ludicrous.

And your facts are wrong:
At the height of the Cold War in the 1960s, the District of Columbia prepared hundreds of fallout shelters. "Very much a 1950's thing" indeed.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@irvmull

At the height of the Cold War in the 1960s, the District of Columbia prepared hundreds of fallout shelters. "Very much a 1950's thing" indeed.

You are talking specific events, I am talking culture. If you are unable to tell the difference, there is no help for it.

Replies:   Keet
Keet 🚫

@Mushroom

You are talking specific events, I am talking culture. If you are unable to tell the difference, there is no help for it.

That depends. Do you see the current Corona problems as an event or a (small?) shift in culture. It will be at least over 2 years in total before it's hopefully all over.

Mushroom 🚫

@Keet

Do you see the current Corona problems as an event or a (small?) shift in culture.

Actually, I largely do not. Oh, it will have events that follow, but it also is not the first time such has happened. One only has to look back 100 years to see that.

Yes, it will likely be another 2 years. Which I have been saying since this first started. And when it is all said and done, we will likely see more changes.

Right now the economy is in the tank. Do we continue into a depression, or will it rush into a new era of prosperity? Once again, impossible to predict at this time. But at one extreme, look back 100 years. Last time when people finally started to group together again the "Roaring 20's" was the result.

At this time, it is still going on, so impossible to see what it will ultimately mean. You can not equate a single event with a change in culture. The assassinations of Lincoln and Kennedy did not change the culture itself. The "space race" and all it did changed culture, but the actual accomplishment of the feat did not.

And you can not really track the change of a culture from inside a possible change. Ultimately, 9-11 did have some minor changes, but overall they were actually very minor compared to everything else that was going on at the time.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son 🚫

@Mushroom

Yes, it will likely be another 2 years.

If it continues on another two years with governments arbitrarily closing businesses in the name of fighting the pandemic, a full on depression is all but inevitable.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@Dominions Son

If it continues on another two years with governments arbitrarily closing businesses in the name of fighting the pandemic, a full on depression is all but inevitable.

Here is the funniest thing. This will burn itself out in about that much time, no matter what the government does or not. It all has to do with herd immunity numbers. And when you are talking about an emergent disease where the entire world is a "virgin field", that will simply take time.

And the vaccine is so rushed, I am still watching to see some real numbers from that. Especially once it starts to be put into hundreds of thousands of people. Myself, I do not think that is going to be a real factor. This is why I still look to the Spanish Flu to estimate timelines. Which had no vaccine.

Remus2 🚫

@Keet

That depends. Do you see the current Corona problems as an event or a (small?) shift in culture. It will be at least over 2 years in total before it's hopefully all over.

I'm sure the Corona beer manufacturer regrets their name about now.

Covid19 has in fact begun to change US culture, though I seriously doubt many within it recognize it yet. The acceptance of lockdowns by large swaths of the population is a mark of that. The cabin fever riots that ensued from the first lockdown another. While what happened to Floyd was an abomination, nationwide riots would not likely have happened without the lockdowns. That led to the defund the police efforts and a host of other issues right, wrong, or indifferent.

How much of those changes stick permanently cannot be determined at this time.

awnlee jawking 🚫

@Keet

Do you see the current Corona problems as an event or a (small?) shift in culture

It's given a huge boost to on-line shopping, matched by an equal decline in high street shops. And it's hastened the decline in cash and the growth of big data.

But worst of all, it's made mask-wearing the new normal. I can see that becoming a permanent part of society, with people getting their masks out for winter cold and flu season. And the vast majority of masks I see are mainly a fashion statement, not being medical quality.

AJ

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@awnlee jawking

But worst of all, it's made mask-wearing the new normal. I can see that becoming a permanent part of society, with people getting their masks out for winter cold and flu season. And the vast majority of masks I see are mainly a fashion statement, not being medical quality.

They are literally worthless for stopping the spread of the disease. And I do not think it will last long after the government requirements are dropped.

Expect a few months for the requirements to stop, then you are going to start seeing establishments banning their use. Retail will probably be first, then following to other establishments.

Replies:   Dominions Son  BarBar
Dominions Son 🚫

@Mushroom

They are literally worthless for stopping the spread of the disease.

But they are great for identifying which people will cave the fastest and follow stupid rules enacted for stupid reasons.

BarBar 🚫

@Mushroom

They are literally worthless for stopping the spread of the disease.

That depends on what type of mask is being worn. There are virtually no masks around that are as good as a full medical mask but that doesn't make them worthless.

Some of you seem to think it's all or nothing. If the mask doesn't work 100% you don't think it's worth wearing. That's not logical thinking.

It's a percentages game. A 3 layer mask that seals around the face will have a much higher percentage effectiveness in reducing the risk of either catching or spreading the disease than a one layer mask with no effective seal or a bandana (which are effectively useless) or wearing nothing at all.

What kind of mask provides the best protection from covid?

D:S: But they are great for identifying which people will cave the fastest and follow stupid rules enacted for stupid reasons.

It's also great for identifying the people who are stupid enough to put their health at greater risk by choosing not to wear a mask as a "political statement" when wearing a mask is such a low cost thing to do for the potential increased protection for your health and those around you.

It's your opinion, D.S,. that the rules about wearing a mask are stupid and enacted for stupid reasons but here in Aus where wearing a mask didn't get turned into a political battle, we have almost completely eliminated the virus (for now) by simply wearing masks, using hand hygiene, social distancing, working from home where possible and so on.

Nobody here is talking about wearing a mask being stupid. We're all looking at USA and shaking our heads in dismay.

Replies:   Remus2  Mushroom
Remus2 🚫
Updated:

@BarBar

we have almost completely eliminated the virus (for now) by simply wearing masks, using hand hygiene, social distancing, working from home where possible and so on.

That is a misleading statement. In it there are three qualifiers. Mask, hand hygiene, and social distancing. Any one of them or combination could have led to the results you've claimed.

Speaking of mask only, it's not just the device that matters. It's how, when, where, and with or without hand discipline. I've personally worked in high risk environments where breathing without utilization of PPE could kill you. Think bio BSL-4 labs, Nuclear, Gas, and Chemical. Fumbling with your mask, eye glasses, or otherwise touching your face, when your hands are contaminated defeats the purpose of the mask.

Then there are the pieces of cloth being used where an N95 or better should be used. Show me evidence that piece of cloth actually does any good?

Remember, the 95 part of the N/KN95 designation means it will catch 95% of particles that are .3 microns or larger. The cloth mask only act as a barrier to catch your own large particles coming out of your own mouth. It does not prevent a particle/virus from entering.

The average bacteria is larger than .3 microns, and the average virus is smaller than .3 microns. Do you really think the weave on cloth masks is that tight??

When the dust settles, I'll not be surprised when it's revealed that is was hand discipline and hygiene along with distancing that was the cause or reduction rather that the cloth masks.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@Remus2

When the dust settles, I'll not be surprised when it's revealed that is was hand discipline and hygiene along with distancing that was the cause or reduction rather that the cloth masks.

That, people not contacting many others, and other factors.

And these masks were not even new or unique now. They have been used since the Middle Ages, with equal results. It was common in 1919 with the Spanish Flu. It was a huge craze, even "designer masks". Some cities made it mandatory, one public health official in San Francisco even shot a man who refused to wear one.

But it did not become a trend, once it was over it ended. And still over 50 million died, over 650,000 in the US. It was worthless 101 years ago, it is equally worthless today. Myself, I really do not care one way or another. But it also is stupid to think it really does any good unless you have the disease. And if you do, you should be at home and not putting others at risk.

It is like over a decade ago when that TB patient flew to the US and did not wear a mask. The mask was not for the other passengers, their wearing it would not matter. It was for HIM to wear, to reduce the risk he infected others. And unless the mask is enough to prevent the transmission, it does little good.

I still remember the 2007 TB incident. The plane landed and a lot of people screamed because he had his rights violated, being yanked off of a plane and slapped into quarantine. His rights were violated, he was threatened with prison and fines, he ignored the advice of his doctor and did not wear a mask or inform the air crew.

And in 13 years, not much has changed. At one time, "quarantine" was real, and breaking it could land a person in jail. Today, "civil rights" and "personal freedom" are more important. So we wear silly masks that do nothing and think we are making a difference.

Now excuse me as I slap a "I am Charlie Hebdo" sticker on my car.

Mushroom 🚫

@BarBar

It's also great for identifying the people who are stupid enough to put their health at greater risk by choosing not to wear a mask as a "political statement" when wearing a mask is such a low cost thing to do for the potential increased protection for your health and those around you.

Bad assumption, I simply think it is silly because I see what most people use. Dust masks, great for sawdust but worthless for a disease. Or all these silly fashion masks, that are just as worthless.

And yea, I have been in a medical unit for the last 8 years. And my wife has been a nurse for over 20. 90% of the mask uses are really just placebos. Designed to make people feel better, but not actually doing anything of use.

Of more effect is simply washing your hands frequently, much more effective than wearing worthless masks.

Mushroom 🚫

@kungfufool45

I love do over stories but as a kid who was born in 2001 its hard for me to relate. I mean i don't only read stories because i can relate to them but it's nice when i can. that's not the point though i'm wondering if there are any where the main character get's sent back and a bulk of the story takes place in the 2000's

Here is the trick with any story written as a "Period Piece". Either traditionally set in the past, or as a "Do-over".

First, you have to at least reach a period where most of that time can be seen as Nostalgia. And typically, that means at least 20 years. As we are only just reaching that point, I would not expect them to really start appearing for another 3-5 years.

And this is the norm. "Retro" is almost always at least 2 decades past. American culture first saw this in the earliest days of Hollywood, where the Turn of the Century Western was huge. Then later on TV with shows like "Happy Days". Enough time must pass for the writer to feel like revisiting it.

And much of the first half of that decade will likely not be hit on much I would expect. Much in the same way that most "Nostalgia" stories about the 1940's almost completely skip WWII. They end in around 1938, and jump to 1946. For those that lived through that time, it is a period of trauma and they have little wish to revisit it.

Besides, it is not a particularly interesting time for a "Do-Over" story. The Internet is already here, the Dot Com bubble already burst, what is there really to talk about? The last 20 years have largely been so homogenized that I know for myself, I would find little if anything to cover in that time period.

Replies:   PotomacBob
PotomacBob 🚫

@Mushroom

And surely, after the new year arrives, multitudes of people will be looking back at the good old days of 2020.

palamedes 🚫

@kungfufool45

This came across as a random story. Maybe it is close ?? as I haven't read it just the description.

'A Brand New Man' by Mark Gander

https://storiesonline.net/library/storyInfo.php?id=20846

Dan wakes up in 1992, when he was just 15. He doesn't recall his past life in 2019 at all, nor does he know that various spirit guides have given him a do-over per his birthday wish. They've found their man and his fresh start will mean a very different adolescence at the head of a sex cult.
Genre: Science Fiction
Codes: Mult, Teenagers, Magic, Mind Control, BiSexual, Science Fiction, DoOver, Time Travel, Paranormal, Cheating, Cuckold, Sharing, Incest, Mother, Brother, Sister, Daughter, Cousins, Uncle, Aunt, Nephew, DomSub, MaleDom, Humiliation, Rough, Spanking, Gang Bang, Group Sex, Harem, Orgy, Polygamy/Polyamory, Swinging, Interracial, Black Male, White Male, White Female, Anal Sex, Analingus, Cream Pie, Double Penetration, First, Oral Sex, Pregnancy, Squirting, Big Breasts, Public Sex, Geeks, Nudism, Revenge, Violent
Sex Contents: Much Sex
Posted: 2019-09-07
Concluded: 2020-03-27 (Added Chapter 40 (final))

https://storiesonline.net/a/Mark_Gander

BarBar 🚫

I completely agree that most of the silly fashion masks are useless. I said as much in my post. However, many people are wearing something more than the fashion masks.

I completely agree that the way a mask is handled reduces its effectiveness. But it doesn't reduced the effectiveness to zero.

The cloth mask only act as a barrier to catch your own large particles coming out of your own mouth. It does not prevent a particle/virus from entering.

Given that part of the reason for wearing a mask is to prevent other people having to breathe in the larger moisture droplets that results from you coughing, or sneezing, or talking, or even just exhaling, even a poor quality mask will do something.

As to preventing something from entering, it's a number game (as I said above). If it reduces the risk by a small amount then that's still a small amount more than nothing.

Yes, the mask wearing needs to be combined with hand hygiene, social distancing etc All of those steps work together and to suggest that the people should dispense with one part because you speculate the other steps are more effective is not productive or useful.

90% of the mask uses are really just placebos.

So if you had to treat an open wound and you had no medical grade masks available, but you did have a 3ply cloth mask that sealed fairly well around your face, would you use it? Or would you decide that it was just a placebo and use nothing? Those are rhetorical questions, by the way. Of course you would use such a mask because you would want to prevent yourself from breathing directly into the open wound. You would also wear gloves or disinfect your hands or both plus doing everything else you can to prevent further infection entering the wound.

If all you had was a 1ply strip of open weave cloth then you probably wouldn't use it and I would be fine with that because I agree with you that they are worthless.

You described my comment as a "bad assumption." It wasn't an assumption and it certainly wasn't a bad assumption. Many people in USA have gone on record saying they refuse to wear a mask because its an infringement of civil rights etc etc. Those people are refusing to wear a mask as a political statement and it has nothing to do with medical reasons whatsoever.

Replies:   Remus2  Mushroom
Remus2 🚫
Updated:

@BarBar

In this, I have to agree with mushroom, that it is a bad assumption in the context he used that statement in.

What's not said is that various world leaders, including US world leaders (maybe especially US leaders) have mislead the public. Biden, Trump, Pelosi, Schumer, ad nauseam have all been shown wearing the placebo mask. That by itself is dangerously misleading.

They are not wearing them out of a sense they personally believe the mask work. Any sane person who actually believed a given item was protecting their life would be screaming for the best protection possible. If they felt a mask was protecting their lives, they'd be wearing medical grade/N95 or better mask. Not only that, medical grade mask would have been mandated to them by their security/secret service.

No, what those idiots were doing was making a political statement as you stated. One that mislead the US population. It was nothing more than a dog and pony show. Why? Because every government in the world got caught flat footed. There was not enough N95 or better mask to go around, and no immediate way to ramp up production of the same.

Therein is something many people missed. Initially those same leaders were in fact wearing medical/N95+ grade mask. Then they changed to the placebo mask. No one is going to convince me that those self-absorbed asshats, who have a massively over-inflated sense of self importance, would have done so without first having been briefed that it was safe. Their own narcissism would have them screaming for medical grade or better mask and damn the image.

Many of those 'leaders' not only supported, but actively encouraged this last year's riots. The infection rate was trending way down prior to the riots, then spiked immediately after. I didn't see those idiots on the news washing their hands and social distancing. Then they wonder why the infection rate spiked??

It doesn't take a rocket scientist to see the cause and effect there.

/Edited for typo

Replies:   bk69
bk69 🚫

@Remus2

If they felt a mask was protecting their lives

Masks provide zero protection to the wearer. The insistence on them is mainly due to the risk of asymptomatic carriers. This is because the point of the mask is to protect others from the person wearing the mask.

As to the trend... Ever since SARS, every cold&flu season there's images in the media of masses of people in Asia wearing masks. Could be stock footage, could be that's become ingrained in the culture. If someone has been there in the last few years prior to this outbreak...

Replies:   Remus2  John Demille  Mushroom
Remus2 🚫
Updated:

@bk69

Given the average size of a virus (SARS-CoV-2 median size is .13 microns), N95 worn properly does in fact provide protection.

ETA for clarification: That only helps in a clinical environment in association with other procedures.

Replies:   awnlee jawking
awnlee jawking 🚫

@Remus2

I saw a scientific study a while back claiming that masks were 60-90% effective in protecting a carrier from transmitting covid, depending on the type (double layer of cotton 60%, medical mask 90%) and 10-30% effective in stop someone from being infected (same mask criteria). However those laboratory tests have probably since been superseded by discoveries of more methods of tranmission (aerosols?) so the figures should be taken as optimistic.

AJ

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 🚫

@awnlee jawking

I saw a scientific study a while back claiming that masks were 60-90% effective in protecting a carrier from transmitting covid, depending on the type (double layer of cotton 60%, medical mask 90%) and 10-30% effective in stop someone from being infected (same mask criteria). However those laboratory tests have probably since been superseded by discoveries of more methods of tranmission (aerosols?) so the figures should be taken as optimistic

.

First thing that grabs me about your comments is the 60-90% spread claim. Then there is the difference between cotton and medical mask. I realize this is something you've read, but whomever put that out is full of shit. Just those numbers alone tell you they are playing fast and loose with data.

As for aerosol spread, it was deny deny deny... at least until late July or so. Then that changed.

John Demille 🚫

@bk69

The insistence on them is mainly due to the risk of asymptomatic carriers.

This chinese study of 10,000,000 people in Wuhan itself says no asymptomatic spread.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-19802-w

So I'd say, if the mask is poor in protecting the wearer and a person who isn't showing any symptom doesn't infect others, then what's the point of masks for people with no symptoms?

Quarantine those who show symptoms and be done with it.

Dominions Son 🚫

@John Demille

Quarantine those who show symptoms and be done with it.

Exactly.

Remus2 🚫

@John Demille

Quarantine those who show symptoms and be done with it.

Agreed

daisydesiree 🚫

@John Demille

Quarantine those who show symptoms and be done with it.

NO! Everyone with a cold or allergies will have Covid-like symptoms. People can have allergy symptoms for two months. It's not right to lock them down.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@daisydesiree

NO! Everyone with a cold or allergies will have Covid-like symptoms. People can have allergy symptoms for two months. It's not right to lock them down.

No, they will not. Allergies do not cause an increase in body temperature. And no 2 months, more like 2 days. What, you think somebody would order a quarantine without actually checking for COVID antibodies?

Replies:   redthumb
redthumb 🚫

@Mushroom

What type of allergies are you talking about. IF pollen, I would tend to agree. But what happens if somebody is allergic to dog or cat hair and the family had that type of pet? The allergy would last for a long time.

Replies:   Dominions Son  Mushroom
Dominions Son 🚫

@redthumb

What type of allergies are you talking about. IF pollen, I would tend to agree.

It's not about how long a given allergy attack lasts. There are critical symptoms, such as fever, that you won't get from an allergy attack.

Mushroom 🚫

@redthumb

What type of allergies are you talking about. IF pollen, I would tend to agree. But what happens if somebody is allergic to dog or cat hair and the family had that type of pet? The allergy would last for a long time.

They still do not cause a fever. No matter how long such an attack lasts, or what the cause is.

I myself have mold allergies. And guess what, we are entering the "wet season" here in Oregon, and it has been giving me fits for over a month now. My nose runs all the time, and I sneeze a lot.

But guess what? No fever. Fever is the symptom of some kind of infection, not simple allergies.

awnlee jawking 🚫

@John Demille

You'd trust a Chinese covid-related study?

UK schools are mostly open and covid has spread like wildfire in children of secondary school age, virtually all asymptomatic.

AJ

John Demille 🚫

@awnlee jawking

You'd trust a Chinese covid-related study?

Western governments have made it exceedingly hard to trust anything they tell us about Covid19. You can participate in a 100,000 people protest packed like sardines and that would be OK, Covid19 respects protesters and doesn't infect them, but god forbid you go to church or have more than 10 people at your son's birthday because that would cause a catastrophe.

Who would you trust? Is there a higher authority in the US than the CDC? How about John Hopkins center?

Both of them among too many sources tell us that Covid isn't particularly deadly.

CDC Mortality numbers: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html (under 70 it's as deadly as the regular flu).

John Hopkins excessive deaths: https://web.archive.org/web/20201122214034/https://www.jhunewsletter.com/article/2020/11/a-closer-look-at-u-s-deaths-due-to-covid-19

Every graph of excessive deaths in every country on earth shows no excessive deaths for 2020. What kind of deadly pandemic is that where no additional people die?

China is not doing a lockdown. Taiwan, Japan, Singapore all, no lockdowns. They're fine.

Yes, SARS-CoV-2 is highly dangerous to old men. Those should be protected. No argument there.

But for the rest of us, women of all ages, and men under 70, it's not exactly a big deal. I fully supported universal mask wearing and social/physical distancing before July when we didn't know much about the virus. But now, six months later, it's becoming ridiculous to support total lockdowns. Masking is becoming an iffy thing too. In the west, in flu season, Covid19 has soared despite lockdowns and mask wearing and every other precaution. The numbers are very similar in jurisdictions that had hard lockdowns and jurisdictions that were very lax, so why bother destroying the economy since the results in the end are the same.

And the fact that PCR machines aren't supposed to be used for detecting those type of viruses and having other kinds of test produce positive infection results even when not in contact with a human, don't inspire any confidence that we're being told the truth.

Here in Canada my sister-in-law went to the testing center and after registering her name and saw how many are in front of her, left without doing the test. She was called the next day and told that she tested positive. She didn't even do the test. It seems random and artificial.

Replies:   Keet  Remus2
Keet 🚫

@John Demille

Both of them among too many sources tell us that Covid isn't particularly deadly.

Neither of them is trustworthy. https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid, just clean numbers and they have no (political) reason to game the numbers.
Covid is definitely more deadly than the flu, specifically for the elderly and lung patients. What people seem to forget is that it's already determined that Covid leaves traces that could, and probably will, cause future problems, even for those who had it without any severe symptoms. The great fear is that the number of COPD patients increase enormously in the next 20 years. Just another flu, right?

Replies:   John Demille  Mushroom  Remus2
John Demille 🚫

@Keet

Covid is definitely more deadly than the flu, specifically for the elderly and lung patients.

I already said that. Look at the graphs you linked to, and see the visual tricks. Like a graph of deaths that starts at 50,000 and reaches 65,000 the bump looks enormous when you zoom in on it that way. But if the graph started at 0, then it's just a blip. It's lying or exaggeration by statistics.

Every source of information has its own biases. But when you correlate various sources and apply some logic, SARS-CoV-2 is not as significant as it's being painted to be. How many people die in the US every year? for population level maintenance, fertility must be around 2.1%, so about 2.1% of the population die every year. The US is what? 330,000,000? at 2.1% death rate that's 6,930,000 average deaths per year. As of today, according to Our World in Data 300,479 death with covid in the US. That's a 4.3% of the total average deaths. And remember, those 300,000 death are 'with covid', so much of them are not due to covid to make the number almost meaningless.

There are some very powerful parties in our world exaggerating it for their own agendas. The whole Davos complex is pushing hard to make covid way more than it is. They are very influential in the west and that's why we have these policies being pushed down our throats. In China and Russia where the Davos people have little to no influence, it's not being made into a big deal.

Check their website: https://www.weforum.org/great-reset/

They call covid19 their 'Opportunity'. So they have a vested interest in making sure that you take it seriously enough to allow them to shape your life. Do you know for sure that they don't finance Our World In Data?

Replies:   Keet
Keet 🚫

@John Demille

Do you know for sure that they don't finance Our World In Data?

It's a non-profit based in the UK and the Covid numbers are just one of the many they collect and make visible. They have no reason to game the numbers, in the contrary, to stay accurate and believable they have to be clean.
What you call a 'little blip' are still many deaths that wouldn't be there without Covid, no matter how you try to marginalize it. Displaying graphics like they do is a very normal way to do this and is used almost anywhere where such types of numbers are made visible.

Mushroom 🚫

@Keet

Covid is definitely more deadly than the flu, specifically for the elderly and lung patients.

Hmmm, not really.

COVID is what everybody went through with the Spanish Flu, and what many worried about with the Swine Flu. And in reality, it is not significantly more deadly than the common annual flu.

But what it is is more virulent. This means that more people will catch it. Let's just use some numbers for comparison.

Say the annual flue will affect 10% of a population of 1,000 people, and 10% of those infected die. That will mean 100 will get infected, and 10 will die.

Now COVID is highly virulent, but actually no more fatal. But because it spreads so damned easily, say this time 25% of the people will catch it, but still with the 10% death rate.

That means 250 will get the virus, and 25 will die. No more deadly, but the increase in spreading will inflate the numbers.

This is what caused many to go into a panic mode a few years ago over H1N1, and what caused to many to die 100 years ago. This thing just spreads so damned fast, that with a great number infected, of course the number who die will go up, even if the percentage who die to it is unchanged (or even in fact lower).

Replies:   Keet
Keet 🚫
Updated:

@Mushroom

Hmmm, not really.

Yes really.
You said it yourself:

But because it spreads so damned easily, say this time 25% of the people will catch it, but still with the 10% death rate.

Maybe the death rate percentage isn't higher (which I can't confirm nor deny) but the fact that it spreads so much easier makes it more deadly by definition.

edit: typo

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@Keet

Maybe the death rate percentage isn't higher (which I can't confirm nor deny) but the fact that it spreads so much easier makes it more deadly by definition.

Nope.

What is more deadly, a .357 fired into your forehead, or a ladder?

Well, quite obviously a .357 is more deadly if fired at your forehead, very few survive that. But more people die from falling off of ladders.

"More deadly" is simply the chance of death if you fall under a cause of death. It has nothing to do with the total number of deaths.

Cars are more deadly than airplanes, but your odds of survival in an airplane crash are significantly lower than if you are in a car crash.

10% of 1,000 is no more deadly than 10% of 2,500. It is still only 10%. This is what far too many people simply can not understand, and causes confusion and misinformation.

And FYI, this is not something I just started talking about. I have been warning people for well over 15 years that a "Second Spanish Flu" was coming, and we have spent an almost unbelievable amount of time in history without a global pandemic.

And it's funny. In other forums people that told me a decade ago told me it would never happen. And now that it has, they scream all kinds of nonsense. I am not any kind of conspiracy theorist (the opposite in fact), I simply analyze past events, and postulate what will happen based upon them. I have actually been aware this would happen since 1994, it was only a matter of time.

But if this was actually "more deadly", then the irony is that the actual death tolls would be lower. Another fact most people simply can not comprehend.

Replies:   BarBar  Keet
BarBar 🚫

@Mushroom

I have been warning people for well over 15 years that a "Second Spanish Flu" was coming, and we have spent an almost unbelievable amount of time in history without a global pandemic.

I'm hoping that the lessons learned from Covid will help us defend from a more serious pandemic. While I have argued against people who try to dismiss Covid as trivial, I fully agree with the argument that Covid is not as serious as a global pandemic could be.

If we get a disease that spreads as fast as Covid with a significantly higher mortality rate, we could be in real trouble. But if the danger is recognised early and precautions we have learned through Covid are put in place then we have a chance.

Replies:   Keet  awnlee jawking  Mushroom
Keet 🚫

@BarBar

I'm hoping that the lessons learned from Covid will help us defend from a more serious pandemic.

I'm hoping the same but I doubt it seeing how rabid many people react to any of the set or even just suggested precautions.

awnlee jawking 🚫

@BarBar

I fully agree with the argument that Covid is not as serious as a global pandemic could be.

'Experts' have revised their estimate of R0 from 5 down to 3 so yes, it could have been worse. But with new mutations still appearing, there's still time for everything to go south.

AJ

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son 🚫

@awnlee jawking

But with new mutations still appearing, there's still time for everything to go south.

Mutations are just as likely to go in the direction of being less infectious and less deadly as more.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@Dominions Son

Mutations are just as likely to go in the direction of being less infectious and less deadly as more.

Actually, the disease lessening is much more likely.

Random mutations do not tend to make a virus any more deadly, doing so is actually not in the best self-interest of a disease. The best for them is actually to be to have a true asymptomatic effect on everybody and to kill nobody.

The biggest one everybody fears is that a virus becomes airborne. And since this already is, no real worry there. But most times first you get a mutation that makes it asymptomatic, then it simply dies off. Either that, or it gets a mutation and no longer affects humans and jumps to another carrier.

Mushroom 🚫

@BarBar

If we get a disease that spreads as fast as Covid with a significantly higher mortality rate, we could be in real trouble.

Here is the beauty of that. The higher the mortality rate, quite often the lower the final death count is. This is just the nature of diseases.

The ones with the highest mortality rate also tend to spread very quickly. Look no farther than Ebola to see that. But the trick there is that because it is so deadly, you do not have "walking wounded" going around that can spread it as quickly to others.

Yes, ebola has a death rate in the 70-90% rate, but it also tends to infect and kill a lot less people than much less fatal diseases. It literally "burns out" before very long.

But as far as "learning the lessons", that all depends on how long it is until this is repeated again. At one time, this was common. Less than 100 years ago actually. Today, it is even less than a cultural memory so nobody knows how to behave in such a situation.

Replies:   Keet  bk69
Keet 🚫

@Mushroom

The ones with the highest mortality rate also tend to spread very quickly. Look no farther than Ebola to see that. But the trick there is that because it is so deadly, you do not have "walking wounded" going around that can spread it as quickly to others.

That entirely depends on the length of time you're contagious and can infect others before you die. If there's a 90% chance of dying but it takes 3 months to actually die... and it gets worse if you have no symptoms for the first month.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@Keet

That entirely depends on the length of time you're contagious and can infect others before you die. If there's a 90% chance of dying but it takes 3 months to actually die... and it gets worse if you have no symptoms for the first month.

OK, please name that disease.

I will give you one even better. One that has a 100% mortality rate. Of which nobody has been cured of, ever. And it is not some super-secret disease, I know everybody has heard of it.

You see, that is not how it works. "3 months to die" is pure horseshit. This is a virus, it can not even replicate on its own. It jumps into the body, tries to replicate itself as much as it can. That's it.

Now, if you ever want to come on back down and talk about real world, then fine. I will be more than happy to do that. But if all you can do is spin around conspiracy theory nonsense and invent diseases then there really is no point in continuing.

Replies:   Keet
Keet 🚫

@Mushroom

OK, please name that disease.

It's a hypothetical scenario to illustrate that the time from being contagious until you die is an important factor.

Replies:   Dominions Son  Mushroom
Dominions Son 🚫

@Keet

It's a hypothetical scenario to illustrate that the time from being contagious until you die is an important factor.

No matter how long that time frame is, a disease that is outright non-fatal will be more successful in an evolutionary sense, so that's the direction things will tend to go over time in the wild.

Mushroom 🚫

@Keet

It's a hypothetical scenario to illustrate that the time from being contagious until you die is an important factor.

OK, great. Write it up as science fiction then. I deal in real life when discussing real life topics. I do not play that game of "Well, if XX and YYY, then you would get ZZZ!"

Not sure how long you have been monitoring things like this, but I have been doing it for decades.

Replies:   richardshagrin
richardshagrin 🚫

@Mushroom

if XX and YYY, then you would get ZZZ

Either 3 Xs or 4 Zs. It looks wrong to me to have XX and YYY and then ZZZ. Alternatively, If X and Y, then Z. Keep the number of letters the same or in ascending or descending number.

Replies:   madnige
madnige 🚫

@richardshagrin

if XX and YYY, then you would get ZZZ

Yeah, this argument is rather tiring and now so boring
it's sending me to sleep too.

bk69 🚫

@Mushroom

The holy grail of weaponized diseases is something with the lethality of ebola, with a long incubation period during the latter stages of which it is communicable and easily spread, hopefully via aerosol...perhaps a targeted transmission vector of a common pest native to enemy territory not present or at least uncommon in the area those developing the weapon are from..
Luckily, it's damn tough to engineer something like that. Otherwise, someone would throw a few billion in oil revenues into buying a sample and a vaccine, and large portions of the world would die.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@bk69

The holy grail of weaponized diseases is something with the lethality of ebola, with a long incubation period during the latter stages of which it is communicable and easily spread, hopefully via aerosol...perhaps a targeted transmission vector of a common pest native to enemy territory not present or at least uncommon in the area those developing the weapon are from..

Actually, no. In fact, that is the exact opposite of what is wanted.

The "Holy Grail" would actually be one that incapacitates people infected quickly, not be incredibly fatal, and not spread very far or fast. With as short of an incubation period as possible.

The idea of what you are talking about defies military sense. The idea of a "weaponized disease" is that you want the thing to hit fast, hard, then go away. An absolutely perfect "biological weapon" is to be able to infect others and spread within 24-72 hours, and not be incredibly fatal. This is because you want to target a specific area. WHere the people infected are then so sick they will not be going anywhere.

You do not want it galivanting all over the countryside, infecting your own side or allies. What you are talking about is 100% guaranteed to do exactly that, the last thing you would ever want.

Oh, that is long a common trope of some Cold War fiction, but that is not reality. And to make it worse, you do not want a "native pest" as the vector. That only guarantees the thing will remain in the area even longer. No, you want to use something in fact that can barely survive in the region. That has no natural protections from other things that will eat that vector.

The why should be obvious. You have to be able to help ensure you can get rid of the thing afterwards. Otherwise, you yourself can no longer put the location to use. In that case, might as well just drop a damned nuke and be done with it.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 🚫

@Mushroom

Obviously, you want to develop a vaccine for any such weapon, prior to use, and immunize your side. Ideally you want to wipe out your enemy. A tactical bioweapon is crazy, if you seriously are considering using viral weapons the only legitimate reason would be annihilating the enemy (and big swathes of the rest of the world, but presumably that's acceptable collateral damage to eliminate the enemy).
A pest vector would work well in limiting the spread if there was no human to human transmission and the pest was required. At that point, a vaccine could be provided after the enemy was all eliminated. And since the vector was known, eliminating that pest would render the territory viable much quicker than use of nukes. And contrary to nukes, bioweapons can't be traced. So unless you think the enemy is gonna launch retaliatory strikes against everyone who may have been responsible (and thus slaughtering many who weren't involved) it's a safer option.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@bk69

Obviously, you want to develop a vaccine for any such weapon, prior to use, and immunize your side. Ideally you want to wipe out your enemy.

Uhhhh, no.

And you do not want to "wipe out your enemy". That is never the goal unless you are talking about a bunch of insane psychopathic lunatics that should never be in any position of authority of anything more than a knitting club.

And eliminating a pest that is native to the region. Impossible. And immunizations are not perfect, for a great many reasons.

And bioweapons can't be traced? Well, obviously the enemy outside of where they are used and who has troops already largely immunized is a pretty freaking good clue who did it.

Oh, and we can tell things like that. In less than a month, when Anthrax started showing up in letters we knew not only exactly which strain of Anthrax had been used, we even knew which lab it had come from. We know what lab it came from, we know where the sample that was used to produce it came from, bioweapons can tell you amazing things because it is all right there in the DNA.

Keet 🚫

@Mushroom

"More deadly" is simply the chance of death if you fall under a cause of death. It has nothing to do with the total number of deaths.

More people are dying than what normally was to expect and that has everything to do with the total number of deaths, no matter how you try to twist the reasons and percentages. My mother lives in a home for Alzheimer patients and I've seen with my own eyes some of the wards almost completely wiped out because of Covid infections, a much higher number than the usual death rate for other reasons like age or the flu. One home (in a city close by) had to close because only a few of the dozens of patients survived the Covid infections. Fortunately my mother survived it, this time...

Remus2 🚫

@Keet

they have no (political) reason to game the numbers.

https://ourworldindata.org/funding

You should re-think that premise. Follow the money to reveal their political bias.

Replies:   Mushroom  Keet
Mushroom 🚫

@Remus2

You should re-think that premise. Follow the money to reveal their political bias.

95% of the time, it is not any kind of corruption or payoff, it is simply "spin" and nothing else but. And I have seen it over and over again over the decades.

COVID is a great example. People screamed at the President early on for locking down the country and stopping flights from some places. Threatened to sue, screamed he was a racist, etc.

Then those exact same screamers a few weeks later did the exact same thing in their own districts. I watch most of the last year, and see nothing but spin. "How dare he order schools closed!" "We are closing schools to protect our kids!"

It has not a damned thing to do with money, this is why most people fail to ever see it.

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 🚫

@Mushroom

It has not a damned thing to do with money, this is why most people fail to ever see it.

Actually, yes it does have something to do with money. Specifically one or the other rich asshat(s) spending money to spin the narrative to their world view and or benifit.

Keet 🚫

@Remus2

You should re-think that premise. Follow the money to reveal their political bias.

And you really believe that money is enough to manipulate the numbers world wide? In some countries, yes. In others by political interference, yes (North Korea, China). Global manipulation? Not possible.

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 🚫

@Keet

Not possible.

You obviously didn't bother to look at the names and organizations listed on the provided link. You can claim it impossible, but that doesn't make it so. Whatever helps you sleep at night I suppose.

Replies:   Keet
Keet 🚫

@Remus2

You obviously didn't bother to look at the names and organizations listed on the provided link. You can claim it impossible, but that doesn't make it so. Whatever helps you sleep at night I suppose.

Maybe for that site although I doubt it. You still can't buy off all sources for every country. The fact remains that there are more deaths than usual with currently the only reasonable suspect being Covid.

Replies:   John Demille  Remus2
John Demille 🚫
Updated:

@Keet

Maybe for that site although I doubt it. You still can't buy off all sources for every country.

Davos has a lot of heads of states and their health ministers on their teams. It's not a matter of 'buying' necessarily. Our Trudeau said it himself about Davos and the plan.

check this link:

https://apps.who.int/gpmb/assets/annual_report/GPMB_annualreport_2019.pdf

That's the WHO's site. In that document, go to page 39 and read the second item under 'Progress indicator(s) by September 2020'.

"including one covering the deliberate release of a lethal respiratory pathogen"

They say 'simulation' but it's miraculously convenient that Covid19 happened right after that report was written.

This is from the mouth of the horse.

Now switch to page 42 of the same document and see who's behind this shit. Fauci is on the list.

The fact remains that there are more deaths than usual with currently the only reasonable suspect being Covid.

Nobody is denying Covid19's existence and its deadliness to some.

I'm arguing that it's being made way more dangerous that it actually is for political reasons. Ask Lazeez, he's Lebanese an he'll tell you about the shenanigans in Lebanese hospitals where they're listing almost every death as Covid19 related because 'somebody' is paying hospitals $30,000 per Covid death. Now why would somebody pay hospitals that much? And what does that kind of motivation do to numbers?

All the links that I provided are to official sources, not some conspiracy theory sites or some unknown people. The people in power are telling you exactly what they're doing. They aim to change everybody's behaviour and control them more than ever. You can choose to see it or turn a blind eye.

Replies:   Keet  awnlee jawking  Mushroom
Keet 🚫

@John Demille

I'm arguing that it's being made way more dangerous that it actually is for political reasons.

Might be true and I even think in some cases they do but that's not the point I was making. My point was that no matter what, Covid causes more deaths than lets say the flu. It was argued that this is not the case because of 'percentages', 'spreading', 'politics', etc. I don't care about any of those, not even the actual numbers. Covid causes way more deaths than normally, that was my point.

Replies:   John Demille
John Demille 🚫

@Keet

Covid causes way more deaths than normally, that was my point.

And that is exactly what I'm questioning. Is it way more deaths or more like little more early deaths. In the average deaths graphs for Canada for example, there was a bump in deaths in spring, and a crater in deaths in late summer early fall. Now, go to the our world in data site and lookup excess deaths for canada and the numbers conveniently stop on the 23rd of August, right before the crater. Why would they hide that?

My whole argument is that those in power want you way more scared of Covid19 than is warranted by its actual effect and they're rigging the numbers.

awnlee jawking 🚫

@John Demille

That's the WHO's site.

Don't mention Taiwan. The Chinese, under whose fiefdom the WHO has fallen, really don't like it.

AJ

Mushroom 🚫

@John Demille

They say 'simulation' but it's miraculously convenient that Covid19 happened right after that report was written.

Guess what? These kinds of simulations are going on all the damned time. Why do you think the military was able to adopt to this so easily?

Rather simple really, they have been "gaming" such a scenario for decades. The day before the 1994 Northridge Earthquake, there was even a large exercise in LA to prepare for an earthquake.

Of course, then you have the paranoids who see boogie men around the corner everywhere around them. Of course, for some reason now we seem to live in an era where such is so common I simply shake my head.

Paranoia, the only mental illness that actively tries to spread itself to as many as possible.

Replies:   John Demille
John Demille 🚫
Updated:

@Mushroom

Guess what? These kinds of simulations are going on all the damned time.

The passage in the document, if it's on its own and isolated, then yes, I agree, it's something that is regularly done. I've studied biology and biochemistry and I've personally participated in pandemic scenarios and discussions. I was even called a fatalist by a doctor when I asserted that the next pandemic is coming and it's a matter of when.

I'm aware of that.

At the beginning of the pandemic I was all for lockdown, self isolation, masks, hygiene, all of it. After all, that's what you do when dealing with the unknown.

But nine months later, a lot has changed. Way more info has come out. Too many discrepancies have become evident.

That passage along with everything going on paints a grim picture.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@John Demille

I was even called a fatalist by a doctor when I asserted that the next pandemic is coming and it's a matter of when.

And the same with me.

In fact, in one forum I used to participate in (2005), I brought that up and a lot of people got pissed at me and screamed I was fearmongering.

Then earlier this year I brought up the exact same things, even quoted back to those 15 year old posts of mine. And had somebody scream I had no idea what I was talking about, and I was making it up as I went along, and had never said anything like that before.

I just calmly pointed back to posts over a decade where I had said the same things. That we were well overdue, and going almost a century without a major pandemic was an aberration. And when it hit there would be panic because nobody would know how to deal with it on an individual level.

Early this year, my aunt freaked out when I warned her we were only in Phase I, and there would be at least 2 or 3 more waves before this was anywhere close to dying out. The numbers of infected started to drop, deaths dropped, she actually smiled and told me I was wrong.

Then a month later it spiked yet again. Experts are still arguing if we are in an extended Wave 2, or actually in Wave 3. I am still expecting another year, maybe 2 until it is all over. And all the isolation is doing is causing it to drag on longer and longer.

And yes, this will sound brutal. But ultimately, disease is one of the mechanisms of nature to "cull the herd". Yes, it is brutal on the herd, but it is also one of the few ways nature has in dealing with over-population. A lot of the herd will die, but the remainder is stronger when it is done.

And since I have not seen any kind of "human apex predator" evolve to cull out the human herd, that only leaves disease. It sucks, but nature does not care.

Remus2 🚫
Updated:

@Keet

You still can't buy off all sources for every country.

Let's get something clear. I said follow the money to find their political bias. The funding for that site makes it clear.

Buying or not buying off is irrelevant. There is no need to buy off anything. When your politics are in compliance with big techs worldview, you have no need to buy off or prove anything.

Remus2 🚫

@John Demille

Here in Canada my sister-in-law went to the testing center and after registering her name and saw how many are in front of her, left without doing the test. She was called the next day and told that she tested positive. She didn't even do the test. It seems random and artificial.

That's not the first time I've heard something like that. Kind of hard to test positive for a test you never took.

Dominions Son 🚫

@awnlee jawking

UK schools are mostly open and covid has spread like wildfire in children of secondary school age, virtually all asymptomatic.

I would wonder how they determined it was spreading from child to child rather than all the children being exposed outside of school.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom 🚫

@Dominions Son

I would wonder how they determined it was spreading from child to child rather than all the children being exposed outside of school.

Obviously you have never had kids.

I told my daughter all the time growing up to never share or borrow a comb from another. Yet, in second grade she along with about 2/3 of the girls in her class all got lice. And of course, from sharing combs.

Kids prior to around 10th grade tend to have very little understanding of "cause and effect". This is why you frequently hear about outbreaks of scabies and lice in grade schools, but not so much in High Schools.

Replies:   anim8ed  bk69
anim8ed 🚫

@Mushroom

This is why you frequently hear about outbreaks of scabies and lice in grade schools, but not so much in High Schools.

Nope they graduate to sharing crabs

bk69 🚫

@Mushroom

Kids prior to around 10th grade tend to have very little understanding of "cause and effect".

Bullshit.

I caught on years before that... piss off the old man when he was in a bad mood, expect a whuppin'. That was easy enough to learn by sixth grade at the latest.

Maybe kids today are so sheltered and protected that they avoid negative consequences enough to not get the body of experience to teach cause and effect? But it wasn't always the case.

Mushroom 🚫

@bk69

As to the trend... Ever since SARS, every cold&flu season there's images in the media of masses of people in Asia wearing masks.

Oh no, it goes way back beyond that. I first went to Japan in the mid-1980's, and mask usage was already common back then. In fact, in Japan it dates way back to ancient times, because of fires and volcanos. In China, it gained popularity in the 1990's because of the rapidly increasing pollution rates.

But it predates COVID, it predates SARS. but it does peak in the Spring, because even basic particle masks filter out most pollen. And per capita, Japan does have among the highest percentage of people who suffer from hay fever in the world.

Mushroom 🚫

@BarBar

So if you had to treat an open wound and you had no medical grade masks available, but you did have a 3ply cloth mask that sealed fairly well around your face, would you use it?

If I was dealing with an individual with an open wound, I would be using full PPE, including mask and gloves. And that is because of my training, not only to protect myself, but to protect my patient.

Yes, I am in a medical unit. I worked for years in a CASH (modern iteration of a MASH) as a computer tech. Before going into the ward tents, I put on full PPE including apron, mask, and gloves. Even if I was only checking some wires going to a computer. Because it was my job, and I was in the equivalent of an ICU in a tent.

And yes, I keep a Combat Lifesaver Kit in the back of my vehicle at all times just for this reason. Think of a "First Aid Kit on Steroids", which allows me to do things like needle chest decompressions and nasal phalangeal airways. I even have saline bags still in it, but would only use them for irrigation as they are way past their expiration dates.

So to answer your question, I would not even have done that 2 years ago, let alone now! Hell, when I worked security I even put on gloves before searching somebody I detained. Of course, that has also been SOP for most law enforcement for almost a decade, so the current situation does not even apply.

But you also took what I said and twisted it away from what I actually said. I suggest you go back and read it again.

LupusDei 🚫
Updated:

So I would dare a note returning on the original subject, just that I too think the 2000 is still solid part of the "long now" or at least the "old normal" until pandemic.

Doesn't mean there couldn't be lot of drama and/or opportunity of change/cheat for a time traveler to exploit (and that's what a do-over is, in the nutshell, a however limited but time travel episode) but little lack of the oomph of culture shock you may get by going back as little more as say, to 1994 still right before cell phones really become a thing for commoners.

But then, it could even be a feature, potentially. We have those 20 years where technology and society wise things are only refined slowly without drastic change, so we could play with mostly almost instantly familiar situations and concepts, letting all the focus be on personal drama. And the protagonist may come out as merely a visionary and not a crazy if he slips and starts talking future.

Well, still some pretty dramatic differences in hindsight, again talking mobile phones as example, going from, say, my 1999 Siemens C25 without even a clock in it to the 2018 Samsung A7 I'm writing this with. But I dare to claim I have sketched, basically smartphone concept around 1998, only with foldout keyboard instead of touchscreen, with seems dumb in hindsight as I already knew such a thing in principle existed then. And by the way, said Siemens C25 is still in working order and stay as my backup-backup phone I even actually took out and used for a few days last year (sim card only needs adapter frame, but is otherwise still compatible). Hell, I even still play old games on a computer I built around 2002 (although it had seen some later upgrades).

Replies:   bk69
bk69 🚫

@LupusDei

And the protagonist may come out as merely a visionary and not a crazy if he slips and starts talking future.

Unless he references 9/11 during the summer before. Or talks about Covid. Or cryptocurrencies. (Although that's the easy get-rich trigger, kid only needs a couple hundred to put into bitcoin when it first comes out to be set for life, if he had a couple grand he could become a billionaire over a fairly short time.)

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 🚫

@bk69

I imagine that Laszlo Hanyecz wishes he could have that 10,000 bitcoin pizza purchase done over. I believe that was ~2010 time frame.

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