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Predictions in stories

Reluctant_Sir ๐Ÿšซ

I was re-reading the William Redman Carter story by Lazlo Zalezac and, about a quarter of the way through the story, there is this passage:

William shook his head and said, "I agree with Doug on this issue. Not only is this country in a crisis of followership, but so is the whole world. I don't think we could wipe out Smallpox today like we did in the past. Individuals were vaccinated even though the vaccine had the potential for rather bad consequences for a small percentage of those who took it.

"Today, people won't accept the risks associated with the vaccine. Why? It would be viewed as too risky even though the consequences of the disease are so horrible. The chance to wipe out a horrible disease would never be taken."

Lazlo Zalezac. William Redman Carter (Kindle Locations 4913-4917). World Literature Company.

The story was posted in 2005, but I don't remember if the anti-vax folks were active much back then or not... Still, I found it an interesting prediction of the short-sighted idiots we are running in to when discussions turn to a Covid vaccine.

Replies:   joyR  Dinsdale
Ernest Bywater ๐Ÿšซ

The anti-vax people have been active for nearly 50 years, so they would have been active 15 years ago.

joyR ๐Ÿšซ

@Reluctant_Sir

Still, I found it an interesting prediction of the short-sighted idiots we are running in to when discussions turn to a Covid vaccine.

It is easy to lay the blame at the feet of the idiots and there are plenty of them. However, a more honest evaluation should include the record of honesty for the medical profession, governments and those 'experts' produced by both who are never ever held accountable when their 'expert' advice proves to be less than accurate.

When you regularly withhold, spin or outright lie about things to the general public, you cannot realistically expect them to accept what you say at face value, even if what you are saying is actually correct and will avoid mass suffering and or death.

Drug companies generate huge profits from treatments, way less from cures.

Doctors routinely withhold information from the patients.

Hospitals routinely act to minimise their liability when they screw up.

I'm not even going to get into how government is less than honest with the public.

So before blaming those idiots for their distrustful attitude, remember that it is not about how stupid you are as much as about how often you've been deceived in the past.

Replies:   awnlee jawking
awnlee jawking ๐Ÿšซ

@joyR

However, a more honest evaluation should include the record of honesty for the medical profession, governments and those 'experts' produced by both who are never ever held accountable when their 'expert' advice proves to be less than accurate.

Indeed. When recipients of the swine flu vaccine realised an abnormal number of them had developed narcolepsy, the first instinct of the medical profession and government was to cover it up and pretend it wasn't happening.

Governments may claim they're doing the world a favour by clamping down on discussions on vaccines, but if it weren't for the internet, the swine flu victims would have gone unrecognised and uncompensated.

AJ

Replies:   Radagast  PotomacBob
Radagast ๐Ÿšซ

@awnlee jawking

My sister ended up in intensive care after receiving Gardasil. She was told there was no risk involved. As a result her kids are not vaccinated for anything as she has zero faith in the medical-government-pharma complex.

The cover up is always worse than the crime. Hospitals that explain why surgery failed and what went wrong leading to the death of a patient are less likely to be sured than those that circle the legal wagons.

Replies:   awnlee jawking
awnlee jawking ๐Ÿšซ

@Radagast

My sister ended up in intensive care after receiving Gardasil.

I hope she's okay now.

IIRC, at least one person has died after receiving a HPV vaccine, and yet it's estimated they've saved thousands of lives.

IMO governments and the medical profession should be doing a lot more to investigate vaccine safety, including thorough investigation of adverse reactions. At the moment they're content to sweep them under the carpet on the basis that vaccines do more good than harm.

AJ

PotomacBob ๐Ÿšซ

@awnlee jawking

the first instinct of the medical profession and government was to cover it up and pretend it wasn't happening.

And the cigarette companies with lung cancer. And the Catholic church with abuse of children by priests. And the list could go on and on. Is there even on segment of our society that does NOT try to cover up its transgressions? Including us as individuals?

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

And the cigarette companies with lung cancer. And the Catholic church with abuse of children by priests. And the list could go on and on.

All of which was painted as a conspiracy theory in their time.

Dinsdale ๐Ÿšซ

@Reluctant_Sir

"Today, people won't accept the risks associated with the vaccine. Why? It would be viewed as too risky even though the consequences of the disease are so horrible. The chance to wipe out a horrible disease would never be taken."

I feel you are partially misinterpreting what that means. The FDA has to approve new drugs after testing, and those "bad consequences" would basically preclude their approval.
Of course then we have the question as to whether people would actually accept the vaccination - something which is secondary to the approval but still very important.

Ernest Bywater ๐Ÿšซ

I've a few points to make in regards to what's been said on the subject of the anti-vax crowd.

1. The early polio vaccines did have an issue with a small percentage of the population. However, independent research showed that the people with the adverse reaction were also the people most likely to have the worst reaction to the polio itself. That was based on what was available in the way of test criteria then.

2. Over the decade after a polio vaccine was developed new polio vaccines were developed that were much safer and the percentage of people with an adverse reaction dropped dramatically.

3. By the time my son was due for polio vaccines in the early 1990s those having an adverse reaction was down to less than 1 on a million.

4. Since the late 1950s there has been an anti-vax crowd who sprouted the early polio vaccine problems as reasons to not vaccinate, despite knowing not vaccinating could mean severe disability or death with death as the likely result if they got polio.

5. Today the anti-vax crowd claim it's safe to not vaccinate because the diseases we vaccinate against aren't as common in the population today as they were back when the vaccines were developed. Thus they feel justified in not vaccinating due to the low risk. - IMHO they are wrong to assume the risk is as low as they claim.

6 (a). When I was in school we had vaccines for most of the childhood illnesses, yet there were still outbreaks in some areas each year. over 20 years later when my son was in school there were better vaccines, but there were still outbreaks in some areas each year.

6 (b). Then the state government passed a law that no child could go to a state supported school unless they had been vaccinated. The anti-vax crowd screamed long and loud. Those who had the money sent their kids to private schools that didn't follow that rule. The next two years the only outbreaks of any of the illnesses occurred in the private schools that didn't insist on vaccinations prior to attending. Many private schools changed their rules to match the state rules. Vaccination required laws were put in place for attendance at government approved child care centres as well.

7. While many of the illnesses we vaccinate for now appear to be non-existent in certain countries they still do exist in some overseas countries and people who've been in those countries can be exposed to them and carry them to other countries. Also, some of the illnesses can be contracted from exposure to hibernating biologicals.

The last time I saw any independent research on the vaccinate no-vaccinate issue the conclusion was that more children had been harmed by not vaccinating than would likely have been harmed if they had an adverse reaction to any of the vaccinations. Another report showed many more children were harmed each year by adverse food intolerance reactions than adverse vaccination reactions.

As to the USFDA approvals - there are drugs approved for use by the USFDA for certain conditions despite the drugs having long term adverse affects on the user because the known long term effect are deemed to out-weight the damage done by the illness in the short term. A classic example was the number of people who ended up addicted to heroin during WW2 and Korea when they were given excess dosages to relieve the pain of serious wounds so they would live long enough to get to a doctor for proper treatment. For a more modern example look into the long term effects of the use of Ritalin on people with ADD and ADHD.

Replies:   Keet  bk69
Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@Ernest Bywater

5. Today the anti-vax crowd claim it's safe to not vaccinate because the diseases we vaccinate against aren't as common in the population today as they were back when the vaccines were developed. Thus they feel justified in not vaccinating due to the low risk. - IMHO they are wrong to assume the risk is as low as they claim.

They are right because... enough others DO vaccinate. They're a selfish bunch that depends on others to take the 'risk' of vaccination to reach what's called group immunity. Too some extend that works but if too many people don't vaccinate it all collapses and they get what they deserve :)

Replies:   Ernest Bywater  joyR
Ernest Bywater ๐Ÿšซ

@Keet

While they're partially right in that having the bulk of the population vaccinating the risk of catching the illness is lower than if no one vaccinated, I think they're very wrong in thinking the risk is as low as they claim it is, especially when not vaccinating leaves their child at risk of death or serious long term health issues. In short, the general vaccination may drop the risk from 1 in a 1,000 to 1 in 100,000 it doesn't drop it to 1 in 10,000,000 they seem to think the risk is at.

joyR ๐Ÿšซ

@Keet

Too some extend that works but if too many people don't vaccinate it all collapses and they get what they deserve :)

As has been stated already, "more children had been harmed by not vaccinating than would likely have been harmed if they had an adverse reaction to any of the vaccinations."

However, are you going to tell the parents of those children who are harmed, that they "got what they deserved"?

Most people agree that the risk is acceptable, right up to the point where their own kids get the short straw.

Personally I think that where a risk exists, the extent should be stated in simple, honest terms, such as x per thousand, rather than, "oh there is little risk", or "it is unlikely". Those vague terms tend to be interpreted as either, you don't actually know the risk factor, or you do know but are concealing the truth.

After all, informed consent requires that you be informed.

Replies:   Keet  bk69
Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@joyR

However, are you going to tell the parents of those children who are harmed, that they "got what they deserved"?

No, not the children, they are the harmless victims. The parents however...

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Keet

I think you're referring to the antivax morons, and joy is talking about the kids who have adverse reactions to the vaccine.

Replies:   joyR
joyR ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

joy is talking about the kids who have adverse reactions to the vaccine.

I was indeed.

bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@joyR

After all, informed consent requires that you be informed.

So... no murican is capable of informed consent?

Replies:   joyR
joyR ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

So... no murican is capable of informed consent?

Sometimes you are the lubricant that encourages flippancy to run rampant.

I didn't infer that no American is capable of informed consent, I would however challenge the ability and or motivation of the average American to Wade through the vast oceans of bullshit presented as fact in order to collect the few pearls of truth and wisdom buried within.

Nor do I think it is unique to Americans.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@joyR

I didn't infer that no American is capable of informed consent

Of course not. You implied it.

Murican's, after all, are uniformly uninformed.

Replies:   joyR
joyR ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

Of course not. You implied it.

Murican's, after all, are uniformly uninformed.

I didn't mention any nation in my post so if you assumed it was descriptive solely of Americans then that says more about you than my post did.

But go ahead and assume whatever you desire, it's much easier than taking the time to read and comprehend a post.

bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Ernest Bywater

polio vaccines did have an issue

Yeah. Especially the type the polish doctor incubated in green monkeys (which were largely carriers of SIV).
(For those who believe that comment is a little too tinfoil-hat territory, and research: you'll find he flatly denied using green monkeys at all in his work. You'll also find, if you look hard enough, photographs of him in his lab in front of cages of green monkeys.)

Reluctant_Sir ๐Ÿšซ

Ratlickers... the term makes me smile because it is so apt!

I think that they exist is merely a symptom of a greater issue.

Not sure what that issue is, exactly, other than a general dumbing-down of the population. We have more college grads than ever but it often seems the world is getting less intelligent.

Maybe it is simply less common sense, a lowering in the ability to reason out even the simplest issues?
Polarity in opinion drives schisms in society rather than compromises, even for the smallest things. Forget anything actually important like human rights or the future of the country.

I mean, we have a resurgence of anti-vaxxers and, surprise, surprise, outbreaks in this country (US) of diseases we had eradicated fifty years ago.

Then you toss in the flat-earthers (who I honestly thought were just internet trolls having a laugh, until I searched for more...) that are actually burning millions of dollars in research to prove their reality should be our reality.

Top it off with the Covidiots and what do we have?

People, many of whom would not be alive were it not for advances in science, using those lives to decry the science that allowed them to live.

I have seen folks point out parallels between our current society and the movie Idiocracy... and while that movie provides a lot of low-hanging fruit, I am concerned that the overall point is very real. Just look at the impromptu street interviews that pundits and comedians alike love to post on YouTube.

Interviewer: "When did World War I end?"
Avg Joe: "Um... 9/11?"

I wonder if my parents or grandparents reached a spot in their lives where they wondered if they were surrounded by idiots? Maybe the way I feel is simply a generational thing, a disaffection with modern society caused by my own inability (or unwillingness) to change with the times?

Part of why I hang out here is I can escape into stories where there are smart folks who have happy endings.

Replies:   Ernest Bywater
Ernest Bywater ๐Ÿšซ

@Reluctant_Sir

We have more college grads than ever

With what passes for an education in the US colleges today being a graduate doesn't mean they learned anything useful or more than a high school student learned 40 years ago.

Replies:   bk69  Reluctant_Sir  PotomacBob
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Ernest Bywater

I'm inclined to believe US college grads on average know less math than highschool grads from the 50s.

Replies:   Ernest Bywater  Ava G
Ernest Bywater ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

I'm inclined to believe US college grads on average know less math than highschool grads from the 50s.

concur - most wouldn't know the difference between a dipstick and slipstick.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@Ernest Bywater

concur - most wouldn't know the difference between a dipstick and slipstick.

I'm 51. I know what a dipstick is, but I've never even heard of a "slipstick".

Replies:   bk69  palamedes
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

regional variant name for a slide rule

palamedes ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

slipstick

I know of two versions of slipstick
1) slipstick also called a slide rule.
2) slipstick is a slick plastic like material {added to
wooden drawers} to aid items to open and close easier

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@palamedes

Also, it's those things that stick to the feet of furniture to allow them to slide on a floor without scuffing.

Replies:   palamedes
palamedes ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

I thought those where called caster wheels ;)p

Ava G ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

I have seen report cards from relatives who graduated high school in the 1950s, including one valedictorian from an economic track. None of the report cards showed them taking calculus.

I did further research. Very few American high schools offered calculus during the 1950s. This bit from Ralph Raimi, whom I believe is conservative enough by Bywater, captures the situation:

https://web.math.rochester.edu/people/faculty/rarm/intro.html

Nowadays, people have to take calculus in high school just to get admitted to many (but not all) American colleges and universities. Because new college students know more math than high school grads from the 1950s, it follows that US college grads would know more math than those high school grads.

Reluctant_Sir ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@Ernest Bywater

With what passes for an education in the US colleges today being a graduate doesn't mean they learned anything useful or more than a high school student learned 40 years ago.

That may be true but what kills me is the number of absolutely worthless degrees being 'earned' that will not help the student get a job and, more often than not, the student ends up with massive debt because, let's be real...

If they are not smart enough to figure out how predatory lenders are and how usurious the interest rates are on school loans, then they surely aren't smart enough to take a degree that translate to real-world jobs.

That is a double-whammy that leaves them whining for years about debt and ends with them on some street corner, smelling of unwashed bodies, marijuana and patchouli; with a protest sign about how they are oppressed somehow.

Most colleges stopped being about education a long time ago, at least in my opinion, and became just another predatory big business that the government (State and/or federal) is propping up with subsidies.

They don't give a damn about what you learn, only that you are paying your dues and fees. Oh, and don't forget to support your school sports team by buying these incredibly expensive shirts and sweats and hats and flags and ....

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Reluctant_Sir

If they are not smart enough to figure out how predatory lenders are and how usurious the interest rates are on school loans, then they surely aren't smart enough to take a degree that translate to real-world jobs.

Schools don't teach math or the type of applied math that is finance. So yeah, they don't get it. They also don't get that they'd be better off financially becoming a plumber or electrician or hvac certified than spending a quarter million on a "do you want fries with that?" degree like womyns studies or sociology or english lit.

PotomacBob ๐Ÿšซ

@Ernest Bywater

Ernest Bywater
9/30/2020, 10:16:36 AM

@Reluctant_Sir

We have more college grads than ever

With what passes for an education in the US colleges today being a graduate doesn't mean they learned anything useful or more than a high school student learned 40 years ago.

I have no idea whether college graduates today know more than high school students did 40 years ago. How do you know that?

Replies:   Ernest Bywater  Remus2
Ernest Bywater ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

How do you know that?

Because a hell of a lot of the education programs in our countries today, and for the last forty or so years have been very similar with ours based on yours due to imported education academic leaders touting the US system and trying to match ours to yours. Thus both have the same degradation over the years.

That, and seeing the quality of want passes out of the US system today.

Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

I have no idea whether college graduates today know more than high school students did 40 years ago. How do you know that?

I know this by dint of direct observations. I graduated high school in 1971. The last group of newly minted college engineers I had to train would look like baffoons stacked up against my high school graduating class. Granted that's a small sample base, but the years have witnessed the veracity of it.

Replies:   irvmull
irvmull ๐Ÿšซ

@Remus2

You really don't need to rely on personal observation - just the fact that colleges now offer:

"Remedial classes โ€” designed to catch up struggling college students by building core skills in English, writing, reading, or math โ€” have become an increasingly common roadblock for low-income and minority college students. Forty-two percent of African-American students and 31 percent of white students require remedial classes in college." - education.seattlepi.com

Wasn't so long ago that students needed to demonstrate that they already HAD those skills before a college would talk to them.

Replies:   Ernest Bywater  Remus2
Ernest Bywater ๐Ÿšซ

@irvmull

Remedial classes โ€” designed to catch up struggling college students by building core skills in English, writing, reading, or math.

I'd bet those students aren't enrolled in STEM classes at the college, as I doubt they'd have got an acceptable SAT or similar score to make a STEM class if they were deficit in any of those areas.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Ernest Bywater

Well, I think you underestimate the power of quotas. SAT scores for certain groups (think other-than-white-male) aren't treated the same. Rather, within each demographic the students are ranked by their test scores, and then the top however many are accepted.
The white students needing remedial courses would obviously be those in the education degrees.

Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@irvmull

I agree with what you stated. There are also many other empirical data points such as you've mentioned. All of which supports direct observations.

Dinsdale ๐Ÿšซ

This has degenerated into just another "the kids today are all pig iggerant" thread.
Ernest B's 7-point posting was extremely informative, a lot of the rest is just prejudice dressed up as established fact.

Replies:   Ernest Bywater  bk69
Ernest Bywater ๐Ÿšซ

@Dinsdale

This has degenerated into just another "the kids today are all pig iggerant" thread.

not a shot at the kids, but a shot at how bad the supposed education system has become.

Replies:   Keet  Dinsdale
Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@Ernest Bywater

not a shot at the kids, but a shot at how bad the supposed education system has become.

Not only the education system, the media nowadays aren't likely to inform you objectively either.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@Keet

the media nowadays aren't likely to inform you objectively either.

What makes you imagine that the media ever at any time in the past even thought about informing people objectively?

Replies:   Keet
Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

What makes you imagine that the media ever at any time in the past even thought about informing people objectively?

Not 100% objective ever, but nothing compared to the blatant lies and misdirections from todays media.

Replies:   PotomacBob
PotomacBob ๐Ÿšซ

@Keet

Keet
9/30/2020, 1:38:32 PM

@Dominions Son

What makes you imagine that the media ever at any time in the past even thought about informing people objectively?

Not 100% objective ever, but nothing compared to the blatant lies and misdirections from todays media.

I wonder if we don't see the current time in superlative terms just because we are living in it. I recent heard one of our two presidential candidates say that "this is the most important election in history." I believe both candidates said the same thing in 2016. I could find one or more candidates saying it in every presidential election all the way back to 1960. I didn't check any further back than that.

Replies:   Keet
Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

I wonder if we don't see the current time in superlative terms just because we are living in it. I recent heard one of our two presidential candidates say that "this is the most important election in history." I believe both candidates said the same thing in 2016. I could find one or more candidates saying it in every presidential election all the way back to 1960. I didn't check any further back than that.

That's marketing talk, not lies to cover something up, to achieve something, or to discredit an opponent. To me it seems like morality is declining year after year, especially in politics.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Keet

morality is declining year after year, especially in politics.

So, we've been in negative numbers for what, 25 years now?

Replies:   Keet
Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

morality is declining year after year, especially in politics.

So, we've been in negative numbers for what, 25 years now?

Since the first politician/family member was 'trained' to be a politician, not someone who was chosen because he was the best person for the job.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Keet

Are we including royalty? Otherwise, sounds like sixty years.

Replies:   Dominions Son  Keet
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

Are we including royalty? Otherwise, sounds like sixty years.

US politics has been going downhill since George Washington retired.

Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

Are we including royalty? Otherwise, sounds like sixty years.

You might be right but I was referring to "modern" politics, i.e. "democratically" chosen governments, not medieval royalties that ruled by succession. The time line will differ for different regions in the world.
The main point is that through the years getting re-elected became more and more important than ruling a country to benefit it's citizens. Trashing your opponent to get or keep the job is now a standard mode of operating, at least in the US. In Europe it's still a little more civilized... for now, but the power hunger is the same. The main problem is that the best person for the job will never get it because he's not in the old boys network and doesn't follow party politics.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Keet

. In Europe it's still a little more civilized.

From the little I've followed French politics in the last decade or so... I don't think so. Differently civilized, maybe, but not more.

Dinsdale ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@Ernest Bywater

not a shot at the kids, but a shot at how bad the supposed education system has become.

When I "graduated" from the functional equivalent of High School and headed off to University, I was on a mathematical track. This is a long time ago but I'd estimate the proportion of that year's graduates to have taken that track at around 25%. This was a boys-only school and the numbers from the equivalent girls' school were a lot lower.
Take those rose-tinted glasses off, guys.

Of course, once at university I channeled Danny in Argon's "Suddenly Rich Kid":

I just can't see myself as one more geek with leather patches on his coat sleeves answering questions that nobody's asking.

Yep - I switched to Computers.

bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dinsdale

You'll find that most of us don't blame the kids. The educational system is, and has been for some time, completely FUBAR.

Teachers are taught to "teach to the slowest" so the stupidest kid in the room can pass. You know what happened to the stupidest kid in the class when we were in school? They failed, and took the class again, and learned enough to pass the second time.
Imagine being the smartest kid in the class. Such a kid WILL be put on Ritalin, because being bored out of your skull leads kids to 'misbehave' in the opinion of current 'educators' (they don't sit quietly and pay attention, they might even read something more advanced than the class is supposed to read) and then sleepwalk through the school system. The just average kids will need to work to get decent grades, which will help them in college while the smarter kids will never have experienced needing to try, and will suffer greatly once in higher learning.

We should be separating kids far earlier into different learning streams. Grade three algebra class, grade four calculus, grade five statistics. The concepts can be taught that early and understood, if kids aren't slowed to the pace of the dumbest kid in the class.

Replies:   StarFleet Carl  BarBar
StarFleet Carl ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

Imagine being the smartest kid in the class. Such a kid WILL be put on Ritalin, because being bored out of your skull leads kids to 'misbehave' in the opinion of current 'educators' (they don't sit quietly and pay attention, they might even read something more advanced than the class is supposed to read) and then sleepwalk through the school system.

Boy, does that sound familiar (without the drugs). They had me pegged by third grade as just leave me alone and I'll pass the tests. You're right in that it did me a disservice. I never learned how to study, so when I did go to college, it didn't go well.

And there weren't alternatives. When you're out in a rural area, with less than 60 kids in your entire class and not even 200 in the whole high school ... it is what it is.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@StarFleet Carl

The school I went to put me in pretty much every program they could access, hoping something would work. If they had just skipped me ahead a few grades, it probably would've worked out.
But yeah, if ADD had been thought of then, they would've had me drugged up. Not sure why teachers thought it was so bad for me to be ignoring grade 3 classwork to read Asimov, Doyle, or Tolkein... I mean, I wasn't disrupting anything. They should've just sat me in the back corner where nobody would notice if they were scared of other kids thinking they should do the same thing...

And yeah, it didn't do me a lot of good once I went to university. I'd been so accustomed to just showing up, paying a minimal amount of attention, and scoring high enough on tests that trying that at university didn't go well. It took a while to realize I either needed to pay full attention or put some work in from time to time.

BarBar ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

You know what happened to the stupidest kid in the class when we were in school? They failed, and took the class again, and learned enough to pass the second time.

Actually, they failed, then they were forced to repeat the class and they failed again, then they left school and got jobs on a factory assembly line or digging ditches or doing one of thousands of menial jobs that simply don't exist now. These days, those types of kids have no choice but to stay in school, so the schools are expected to cater for them.

The educational system is, and has been for some time, completely FUBAR.

I completely understand your sentiment. Keep in mind that the educational system is the product of a society that treats it like a political football and expects it to be all things to all people. As a result it limps along, being parent and baby-sitter and police officer and coach and guidance counsellor and so on and so on.

We should be separating kids far earlier into different learning streams. Grade three algebra class, grade four calculus, grade five statistics. The concepts can be taught that early and understood ...

Ah, if it were only that simple.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@BarBar

These days, those types of kids have no choice but to stay in school, so the schools are expected to cater for them.

Except that kind of catering does them no favors and does nothing to improve the quality of the jobs they will be able to get.

Mushroom ๐Ÿšซ

It seems like in the last 20 years or so, more and more people are falling under what are essentially crazy conspiracy theory kinds of beliefs. And it is a trend that I find is getting worse and worse all the time.

I am one of those that mostly shrugs and says "Shit happens". But today, it all to often gets put by somebody onto the back of those that they do not like. Can't get-keep a job? Why, it's because somebody is keeping you down. Somebody has a new car and you take the buss, they are oppressing you! You read somewhere that a kid got autism? Why, the evil corporate rules of the social elite want it that way to take all your money!

My general reaction 99% of the time I hear any kind of nonsense like that is pretty much to dismiss the person screaming. And the more they scream, the more I suspect mental illness.

And I have no interest in trying to converse with crazy people at all. But for some reason, this is a mental illness that they feel they have to try and inflict upon others, and spread around like a sexual disease.

Come up and talk to me about New World Order or how Monsanto wants to take over the world, and I am a very non-political listener. I ignore both sides equally.

Replies:   Dominions Son  BarBar
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@Mushroom

It seems like in the last 20 years or so, more and more people are falling under what are essentially crazy conspiracy theory kinds of beliefs.

Sometimes it seams like the US government, and other national governments around the world are going to significant lengths to make the "crazy conspiracy theory" ideas seem plausible. :)

Besides, all conspiracy theories are products of a CIA disinformation campaign.

#MetaConspiracyTheory

BarBar ๐Ÿšซ

@Mushroom

It seems like in the last 20 years or so, more and more people are falling under what are essentially crazy conspiracy theory kinds of beliefs. And it is a trend that I find is getting worse and worse all the time.

My personal theory is that the internet has allowed people with that type of mindset to more easily communicate with others of the same mindset thus reinforcing each other's beliefs. The dis-information is more easily and rapidly spread and attempts to negate the dis-information get lost in the noise or dismissed as "part of the conspiracy."

In the days of newspapers, the publishers with integrity required some level of research and verification before they published anything, and opinion pieces were clearly labelled as such. It was also easier to tell the difference between the publishers who had the integrity to do their research and those who didn't. These days, many of the so-called news broadcasters are heavily politicised, and some of them only broadcast opinion with only token attempts to present both sides of an argument.

Today the "news" comes at us from so many different sources that it becomes easy to dismiss anything that doesn't fit our world view as "fake news." All of us are having to filter through the nonsense, so it is little wonder to me that the conspiracy theorists have become even more intractable in sticking to their own particular version of reality.

Replies:   Dinsdale
Dinsdale ๐Ÿšซ

@BarBar

But Elvis was kidnapped by aliens, the National Inquirer said so.

Replies:   Dominions Son  bk69  PotomacBob
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@Dinsdale

But Elvis was kidnapped by aliens, the National Inquirer said so.

All conspiracy theories are products of a CIA disinformation campaign.

#MetaConspiracyTheory

Replies:   LupusDei
LupusDei ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

All conspiracy theories are products of a CIA disinformation campaign.

#MetaConspiracyTheory

Some, sure, but even in that they only picked up the relay stick.

It's for example well known that the cornerstone of many "New World Order" theories, the infamous "Protocols of the Elders of Zion" was fabricated on comission of Russian Czar's Ohranka. Misinformation campaigns sponsored by governments have long history. Even today Russia has Commission of Eradication of Pseudoscience (and if it sounds like inquisition it's because it is), but frankly they do need it because the shit unfounded and disgruntled academics of ex-Soviet creed can come up is insane, but just as sure it hurts legitimate alternative options abound in a country that's known empire of lies that repeatedly burned its own history (down to Ivan the Terrible, the certified crazy and burner of the church books).

My personal #MetaConspiracyTheory regarding last 20-25 years is that Russian FSB (the heir of KGB) tried and more than partially succeeded to overtake many previously disconnected conspiracy theorist communities, with the sole goal of promoting anti-science and sowing discord and distrust.

bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dinsdale

, the National Inquirer said so.

You really should stick to the true bastion of investigative journalism - the Weekly World News.

PotomacBob ๐Ÿšซ

@Dinsdale

But Elvis was kidnapped by aliens, the National Inquirer said so.

That cannot possibly be true. I just saw him last week.

irvmull ๐Ÿšซ

An obvious cause of many of these problems is isolation from reality.

Most actions and decisions have consequences. If you have been sheltered from experiencing (or even knowing of) the consequences, you have little ability to make rational decisions.

Fifty or sixty years ago, for example, kids could see the consequences of not taking polio vaccines - some of their friends were dead, others came to school in wheelchairs or braces and crutches.
Ask then whether they would rather eat a sugar cube or be crippled for life, and you would find out that they were quite capable of deciding in favor of a vaccine.

You can blame Schools, SMothers, or the electronic babysitter for the current situation. Choose one or more, you can't go wrong, they're all to blame.

Dinsdale ๐Ÿšซ

Thinking of conspiracy theories, what has happened to Remus2?
(he has pushed a couple of what I believe to be discredited theories of that ilk here, I can't find any trace of him since around the second week of August)

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@Dinsdale

Thinking of conspiracy theories, what has happened to Remus2?

(he has pushed a couple of what I believe to be discredited theories of that ilk here, I can't find any trace of him since around the second week of August)

I don't recall pushing any discredited theories? Care to point one out to me? Especially of the "ilk" spoken of here?

As for what happened, it's called real life. Specifically, some projects that were awaiting materials and parts got their requisite materials and parts delivered. Most now finished.

Replies:   Dinsdale
Dinsdale ๐Ÿšซ

@Remus2

Good to see that you're ok.

One was about an associate of the Clintons who committed suicide. There was a theory going around that he had been murdered by Billious or Hillary, you placed that one here.
The second one was Covid related, that the virus had been cooked up in a bio-weapons establishment and had got away.

Replies:   Dominions Son  Remus2
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@Dinsdale

The second one was Covid related, that the virus had been cooked up in a bio-weapons establishment and had got away.

There is a virology lab in Wuhan less than a mile from the wet market where COVID19 supposedly started.

It's not a bio weapon lab, they were doing vaccine research with COVID using bats as lab animals.

It's probable that personnel from that lab shopped at that wet market.

The lab had safety incidents with personnel getting bit by the bats they were using as test animals.

Did COVID19 "escape" from that lab? Probably not, but it's not beyond the realm of possibility, nor is it so improbable as to put the idea into "crazy conspiracy theory" territory.

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@Dominions Son

It would not be the first time something escaped from a lab. Not even the 100th time for that matter. It's happened around the world over the past decades.

The Wuhan lab had an abysmal safety record prior to Covid19.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/04/14/state-department-cables-warned-safety-issues-wuhan-lab-studying-bat-coronaviruses/

The Washington Post isn't exactly a conservative paper, not by a long shot, so a person would be hard pressed to claim their report was a "right wing conspiracy."

It takes some critical thinking beyond that point. First point of which being this. How exactly does a virology lab conduct their experiments? One of the foundational methods utilized is genome marking.

https://www.genome.gov/genetics-glossary/Genetic-Marker

That's as basic as it gets for a virology lab.

Mixing genetic materials and comparing against a control sample is also basic science for such a lab.

Those things happen every day around the world. Safety protocols within those labs are therefore critical.

With that in mind, the safety record of the Wuhan lab takes on a whole new importance.

Do I believe it was deliberate? No. Do I believe the Chinese tried to cover up a massive screw up? Yes. The latter is standard operating procedure (SOP) for many countries.

Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dinsdale

Dominion effectively answered the last one.

As for the associates of Clinton, they do have a nasty habit of suicides. Most recent of which was Jeffrey Epstein. That's demonstrable facts, not conspiracy.

Regarding previously mentioned conspiracies of the "ilk" found in this thread, that's simply bullshit on your part.

Flat earth? Nope.
Anti-vaccine? Nope.

There are two things in this thread I do agree with.

The American educational system is now crap, both in quality and excessive cost. Academia has turned it into a money making scheme mostly churning out burger flippers with a severe case of over inflated entitlement.

The American healthcare system is also turning to crap. They are not in the business to cure, but to treat, and expensively so at that.

The American centric view on both education and healthcare, will bring down this country if it hasn't already. Degrees ending in studies, do not build nor maintain a country. Healthcare without a focus on cures, but rather on making money, does not protect those who can build or maintain.

There is a dearth of critical thinking skills in this country. People are far too willing to line up like lemmings without doing their own homework these days.

Replies:   StarFleet Carl
StarFleet Carl ๐Ÿšซ

@Remus2

As for the associates of Clinton, they do have a nasty habit of suicides.

I always like the ones who shot themselves in the back of the head, a couple of times.

Or the one found dead in the plane crash with bullet wounds.

Just a coincidence ... it does make we wonder, with Ghislaine still alive, and lately we've seen a LOT of human trafficking arrests, if there's something tying those together.

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@StarFleet Carl

I always like the ones who shot themselves in the back of the head, a couple of times.

Or the one found dead in the plane crash with bullet wounds.

Just a coincidence ... it does make we wonder, with Ghislaine still alive, and lately we've seen a LOT of human trafficking arrests, if there's something tying those together.

I believe it was Vince Foster who shot himself in the back of the head. His body was found in a National Park already bleed out with no blood or other bodily materials found around him. Yep, sounds like a suicide to me...

As for Ghislaine, she is as dirty as they come, but doesn't likely know anything significant.

Replies:   PotomacBob
PotomacBob ๐Ÿšซ

@Remus2

Remus2
10/2/2020, 4:41:38 PM
Updated: 10/2/2020, 4:53:24 PM

@StarFleet Carl

I always like the ones who shot themselves in the back of the head, a couple of times.

Or the one found dead in the plane crash with bullet wounds.

Just a coincidence ... it does make we wonder, with Ghislaine still alive, and lately we've seen a LOT of human trafficking arrests, if there's something tying those together.

I believe it was Vince Foster who shot himself in the back of the head.

The autopsy report said Vince Foster shot himself in the mouth.

Replies:   StarFleet Carl  Remus2
StarFleet Carl ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

The autopsy report said Vince Foster shot himself in the mouth.

Of course he did.

Now, how he did that, without having any gunshot residue on his hands, or having any flash burns in his mouth, or chipping any of his teeth, or getting blood to flow uphill ...

Some interesting reading here about this.

Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@PotomacBob

The report available now says exactly what you reported. The reports from the police and the autopsy at the time, said something entirely different.

Clinton associates have had a curse or something, as an inordinate number of them have turned up dead due to suicide or other less than clear circumstances. Some try to paint that as a conspiracy theory, but it's hard to argue over a dead body.

Where I differ is, I know forty eight of them have turned up dead. That is documented. I know planes inexplicably blowing up, or shots to the back of the head are highly suspicious. What I don't have, and likely never will, is hard evidence the Clintons were responsible.

I know it wouldn't be the 10th or 100th time a person or family in power was attacked laterally by a third party to cast suspicion on them. I also know it wouldn't be the 10th or the 100th time a person in power killed off people with damning information on them.

What I don't do is ignore something odd such as listed above because some asshat somewhere is trying to paint it as a conspiracy. That sad excuse has a time honored tradition going back centuries, as a method of shutting down uncomfortable questions, and attempting to shame/ridicule those who ask them making them out to be loons.

In American politics, both sides of the aisle have played that card repeatedly. Every major government in the world has used that tactic at one point or another. The same can be said for many other rich and powerful persons as well.

The tactic is especially effective in the day and age of twitter mobs where people's attention span is shortened to 280 characters and their memories doing good to remember what was for lunch yesterday.

Replies:   PotomacBob  bk69
PotomacBob ๐Ÿšซ

@Remus2

I know forty eight of them have turned up dead

It is pretty clear to me that Remus2 is an expert in all matters!

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

Nope, not even close. If you can't be bothered to research it yourself, then it's pretty clear to me you refuse any and all viewpoints that challenge your world view. There is nothing anyone can do about your closed mind.

Replies:   PotomacBob
PotomacBob ๐Ÿšซ

@Remus2

I'll have to give it to you, you are never in doubt. You have made it clear on several occasions that people who question the basis of your certainty on any matter have a closed mind or are morons or idiots. Your "personal observation" is so widespread on so many subjects that you are ubiquitous.

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

I'll have to give it to you, you are never in doubt. You have made it clear on several occasions that people who question the basis of your certainty on any matter have a closed mind or are morons or idiots. Your "personal observation" is so widespread on so many subjects that you are ubiquitous.

The facts are clear to anyone willing to look at them. One such fact, is that I'm not the only one seeing the problem here. The only real difference between them and myself, is that I utilized personal observation first.
The statement you made here (quoted above), is simply a higher word count to your previous statement as follows;

It is pretty clear to me that Remus2 is an expert in all matterfes!

In fewer words, you're accusing me of being a "know it all."

Anyone who bothered to use the search function of this forum could put to lie that accusation. There are multiple subjects I've specifically stated I had no strong basis in, or had nothing but a personal opinion of (even in this very thread).

What you attempt to do here is bring into question my statements by painting me as a "know it all" in a thinly veiled personal attack meant to shame me into shutting up.

All that while not providing any substantive argument to demonstrate that I'm wrong, and with that, that others here are also wrong.

With that, why don't you save your school yard taunts and actually put up a substantive argument instead of what appears to be an emotional one.

bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Remus2

their memories doing good to remember what was for lunch yesterday.

maybe that's why people post pictures of their food?

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

maybe that's why people post pictures of their food?

Stranger things have happened. Why people post pictures of food I never really understood unless it was a commercial interest.

Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

My $0.02:

The decline in the general quality of education have little or nothing to do with quotas or "affirmative action" more generally.

It has been driven by government efforts to promote universal college education.

There is a general principle that you can not significantly increase the production of anything without a decline in average quality.

This is true even for physical objects produced by heavily automated mass production systems, but the effect is far more pronounced when production is entirely a product of human labor.

To apply this to education:

A single professor/instructor can only teach so many students efficiently.

You can put more students through college by increasing class sizes, but that will reduce the quality of every professors and/or instructors efforts.

Or you can keep class sizes the same and hire a lot more professors and/or instructors, but if your hiring process is efficient, you already have all of the top candidates available, so to hire more, the average quality of the professors and/or instructors must go down.

Not only that, but you likely already had the highest quality raw materials(students) available. To drastically increase production, you must necessarily accept lower quality raw materials(students)

So, the quality of both labor and raw materials has gone down, therefore the quality of the output must decline.

To make matters even worse, education isn't even the main focus of the modern university. They see their primary output as being not the education of students, but original research/scholarship.

Since teaching isn't the primary focus for output, it won't be primary focus in hiring and evaluating labor. This will further increase the rate at which the quality of the education output declines as production increases.

Replies:   bk69  irvmull  Remus2
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

Also, in any actually useful degree field (so things other than English Lit, Womyn's Studies, Sociology, and the other "you want fries with that?" degrees) the market value of a PhD is far above what a university has to offer outside a few select positions involving heavily endowed chairs. Universities were never getting the best. Remember: Those who can, do;those who can't, teach; those who can't teach become administrators.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

in any actually useful degree field (so things other than English Lit, Womyn's Studies, Sociology, and the other "you want fries with that?" degrees)

There is a lot more in the not useful degrees list including a lot of STEM degrees.

Theoretical Physics
Asto-physics
Mathematics (Lots of fields may use mathemetics, but that doesn't make advanced degrees in mathematics useful outside of academia)

Chemistry, Biology, Medicine, out side of those, only the TE (technology and engineering) are truly useful.

Universities were never getting the best.

They had the best that was available to them. Those with useful degrees working more lucrative jobs were/are not available to the universities.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

Mathematics (Lots of fields may use mathemetics, but that doesn't make advanced degrees in mathematics useful outside of academia)

NSA hires mathematicians regularly. Also, lots of computer firms, and finance.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

NSA hires mathematicians regularly. Also, lots of computer firms, and finance.

Please note I said advanced degrees (masters, PHD).

There is very little that either computer firms or finance companies are doing that would require either a master's or a PHD in mathematics.

They may hire people with advanced degrees in Mathematics but those people aren't really using their degrees with those companies.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

Data mining.

Predictive algorithms for futures trading.

Advanced cryptography techniques, and enhanced encryption.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

For data mining you'd want people with degrees in statistics, not general mathematics.

The number of positions available on the other two are probably smaller than the numbers of positions for mathematicians in academia.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

1. Statistics is a branch of mathematics.
2. The number of such jobs (outside a number of software firms, the NSA, and most investment banks and brokerage firms) may not be that high, but the average salary would exceed academia.

Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

The number of such jobs even including software firms, the NSA, investment banks and brokerage firms is not that high.

Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@bk69

Statistics is a branch of mathematics.

Technically true, but generally those who study statistics refer to themselves as statisticians not mathematicians and statistics has it's own degrees. If you studied statistics as a post grad level you would have a degree in statistics, not a degree in mathematics.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

If I'd done Statistics for my undergrad, I'd still have gotten a BMath tho...

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

If I'd done Statistics for my undergrad, I'd still have gotten a BMath tho...

Yes, but I was specifically talking about grad degrees. There aren't faculty level jobs in academia for anyone with just a bachelors.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

I was just explaining why I tend to group all various subfields of mathematics into the one group.

irvmull ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

To make matters even worse, education isn't even the main focus of the modern university. They see their primary output as being not the education of students, but original research/scholarship.

I strongly suspect that the main focus of a modern university is to make money. The research, scholarship (and football) are window dressing to attract wealthy donors, who then have something to write off/brag about among their peers.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@irvmull

I strongly suspect that the main focus of a modern university is to make money.

While there are high profile private schools who's focus is no doubt making money, the vast majority of Universities are government sponsored/tax supported and making money is not supposed to be a focus.

For those that are in it for the money, f they made education the focus, and split of the research and scholarship into separate institutions dedicated to those purposes, they could make plenty of money educating students.

In fact, focusing on education would probably be more profitable, as STEM research tends to be very expensive, especially at the bleeding edge.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

Most research is carried out by students.

The main jobs of professors are writing articles for publication (and presenting those papers at conference) and writing grant proposals. Seriously, fundraising for their research takes more time than they spend on their research.

Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

It is fairly easy to demonstrate the decline in the quality of education. What's not so easy is to pinpoint the root cause. In my personal opinion, it's an amalgamation of reasons, with no one reason standing out.

richardshagrin ๐Ÿšซ

Actuaries mostly work for insurance companies although some are employed by insurance regulators. They are oriented toward mathematics and statistics and a field called Risk Management.

"An actuary is a business professional who deals with the measurement and management of risk and uncertainty. The name of the corresponding field is actuarial science. These risks can affect both sides of the balance sheet and require asset management, liability management, and valuation skills.
Median pay (annual): 97,070 USD (2015)
Median pay (hourly): 46.67 USD (2015)
Entry level education: Bachelor's degree
Projected 10-year growth: 18% (2014)
Number of jobs: 24,600 (2014)
Similar professions: Financial Analyst, Statistician, Mathematician,
People also search for: Statistician, Mathematician, Accountant,"

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@richardshagrin

Entry level education: Bachelor's degree

Undergrad degree. We were talking specifically about advanced graduate degrees, masters and/or doctorate.

Replies:   richardshagrin
richardshagrin ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

advanced graduate degrees

There are a series of examinations, increasingly difficult the actuary must pass to advance in his or her career. On line it says nine of them, but I remember there being more. Just because you graduate with a bachelor's degree doesn't mean you can be an actuary for your entire career. You need to qualify to be a fellow of the Society of Actuaries to reach the full actuarial career. It is at least the equivalent of a Masters Degree. Underwriters have similar sequence of ten exams to become a Certified Property Casualty Underwriter. (CPCU). Some insurance people says it means "can pass, can you?" I also got an MBA from the College of Insurance in New York. And several associates diplomas in Insurance, Risk Management, Premium Audit and Marine Insurance. If you want to reach the top in insurance related positions, you keep taking courses and examinations for most of your career.

Replies:   bk69  Remus2
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@richardshagrin

Actually, you can theoretically take the professional exams for a actuary without ever taking a university class. You probably wouldn't pass them, but...
(At least, that was true 30 years ago. When I first found that out, I regretted not just using my highschool years to prep for those exames. OTOH, since I don't find accounting to be too exciting, I probably wouldn't have done well as a beancounter.)

Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@richardshagrin

I also got an MBA from the College of Insurance in New York. And several associates diplomas in Insurance, Risk Management, Premium Audit and Marine Insurance.

I'm assuming you worked as an an actuary. Out of curiosity, have you ever worked with the companies that comprise the IACS?

Replies:   richardshagrin
richardshagrin ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@Remus2

'm assuming you worked as an an actuary. Out of curiosity, have you ever worked with the companies that comprise the IACS?

Sorry, I was not an actuary. Some of the people I worked with were. When I went to them to get factors to use to adjust losses they asked what do you want the numbers to be? They had methods of adjusting numbers to get whatever number the person asking for help wanted. I was a property and casualty underwriter most of my career. We priced accounts and tried to sell our pricing to the insurance agents that submitted risks they represented. None of the companies I worked for are still in existence at least not in the US market. I don't know what the IACS is.

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@richardshagrin

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Association_of_Classification_Societies

While initially they were focused on maritime work, in the last century, they branched out to third party verification for insurance purposes among other things. Bureau Veritas and Lloyds Register, both which I've contracted with in the past, also contract with various governments and insurance companies to assure things like LNG port facilities etc are built to spec.

It's why I asked given your post.

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