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High-speed rail

PotomacBob ๐Ÿšซ

Is there some reason (or reasons) why other countries have been able to build high-speed rail systems and the United State has not?

richardshagrin ๐Ÿšซ

Mostly the cost, look at California's attempt. However the reward of obtaining high speed rail seems lower here. Where we are and where we want to go seem to be farther apart than countries where high speed rail exists. There are industries: oil, automobiles, airplane manufacture and airlines that don't want to spoil their current advantages. The answer to lots of questions are "politics".

Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

Money: very high investments for too little profit in return.
Distance: high speed trains are very useful for long distances, unless those distances become so large it's easier to fly.
Geography: too many obstacles over a long distance that makes it too expensive. Europe is generally a lot flatter which makes it easier and a lot more people on a relatively smaller piece of country which makes transport for the high number of travelers more economical.
For Europe there's also a historical point: trains have always been an important part of the total transportation infrastructures so there's a lot of knowledge and production capacity already available. This makes the step to high speed trains a lot easier.
In Japan is was plain necessity. Too many people traveling the same trips every day required a solution for high capacity, high speed travel, which is exactly what the high speed trains offer.
The US historically went for planes rather then trains. It could have had a high speed train network but it was probably the money reason that prevented that.

Ernest Bywater ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

Is there some reason (or reasons) why other countries have been able to build high-speed rail systems and the United State has not?

politics is th reason. First there are the lobby groups for the airlines and motor vehicles and oil, then the cost of complying with a lot of red tape before they even get a track built.

bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

So many reasons...
Most other countries, the government would just appropriate the land needed to build a high speed rail system. Try that in the US and there'll be lawsuits and large payouts.
Airports take up less land than a rail system would, planes can fly over mountains for no more cost than over plains...
And the aviation industry was supported by the government, in order to aid in development of long-range strategic bombers. Once the money was spent already, there wasn't much point in building a rail system to do what planes could already accomplish.
Distance and population density - unless you have a huge number of riders, trains aren't lucrative. If you have many riders needing to go to the same location (such as Grand Central Station) then it makes some sense. But how many people need to go from Boston to St Louis on a given day, and how can they make that line pay for its existence?

DBActive ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

High cost, low demand, low utility.
It's something that only benefits the high income residents of dying cities who want others to subsidize their convenience.

irvmull ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

Look at it this way: major cities in the US, with the exception of the northeast megalopolis, are too far apart for high-speed rail to be the preferred choice of transportation.

There are only 3 kinds of people who ride trains: businessmen/women, vacationers, and AMTRAK employees.

Businesses are not willing to pay employees three days pay to do one day's work in a remote city (one day on the train, another back). And they absolutely aren't willing to pay the cost of a sleeping compartment if the trip can be done overnight. Catch the red-eye and report for work in the morning!

Vacationers might use the trains, except that once you ride for 10 or 12 hours, you're going to want a place to sleep, and that will cost 2 or 3 times what a stay at a hotel would cost. Vacationers also want good food, and you won't find that on AMTRAK.

I had to go to Washington DC last year: 637 miles.

A 14 hour trip by train, 9.5 driving, 1.5 flying.

Cost? AMTRAK $125, Delta $88, gasoline $40+motel.

I took the train to DC, but flew back. Can you see why?

I would have been more comfortable in an AMTRAK sleeper for "only" $320, or $750 for a room I can get into without a shoe horn. For $750 a night, I can stay at the Waldorf.

But wait! If we spend a few billion dollars to build high-speed track from Atl to DC - something that can go 200mph, you're talking about a 3+ hour trip.

Sounds good, until you realize that terrain will prevent those kinds of speeds in many places, and if you stop along the way to pick up passengers, you'll lose even more time. If you don't stop along the way, who is going to want to pay for it?

Last, but certainly not least, is freedom. I can choose to take transportation that leaves once a day, at an inconvenient hour, or one that leaves every hour, or one that leaves when I am good and ready.

So, it's not that we can't build it, it's that logic tells us there are many better uses for our money.

StarFleet Carl ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

Feel like we've gone over this before.

However, since I was just doing some research on this recently, here goes:

First, you have to look at historical issues. In Europe, high speed rail has two very major things going for it.

One, rebuilding after World War II. A lot of people ignore the minor detail that if your city was destroyed, then it's a hell of a lot easier to rebuild from scratch than it is to simply add on and replace.

Two, population density versus distance. There are a few areas of the United States where the population density and the distances involved make sense. Most of Europe is that way.

You could then say, what about Japan? Again, population density versus distance, and again, rebuilding after World War II comes into play.

Passenger trains are well suited to going from one city center to another, while airports require square miles of land, typically a fairly decent distance from the city center. When you're basically planning from scratch - AND nothing else is there already - it's pretty easy.

Politely, having to rebuild from the destruction of World War II is the best thing that ever happened to Europe. The United States didn't get that destruction, so the existing infrastructure has to both be removed and then expanded or replaced, without there ever being an actual let-up on the demand OF that infrastructure.

China is a bit of a special case, due to the single party rule and the minor detail that if the government wants it done, then it gets done. They've been successful at it, but at the same time, if they want your property to build a train track or anything else on, they're going to take it.

Now, as to the efficacy of HSR. Distances and speed for equivalent travel become a massive factor. You're in London, and you want to go to Rome. Cool. Your train can go 360 km/hr, call it 225 mph for ease of talking, and with no stops, in 4 hours, you've covered that 900 miles and been in 3 or 4 countries, depending upon the route.

Makes perfect sense, you're going from one heavily built up region to another. That has a HUGE impact on it. Population of Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the UK combined are about 325 million people, combined, or equal to the entire United States of America, in those five nations. Land area for those same five countries is 753,720 square miles, giving us a population density of about 430 people per square mile.

The lower 48 - meaning, not counting Alaska or Hawaii, is 3,119,885 square miles. While that means the US has, as a whole, a population density of 104 people per square mile, it's not spread out evenly. The Acela Corridor, which is the only spot where 'high speed' rail works in the US, has about 54 million people living in 56,000 square miles. The rest of the country is too damned spread out.

AND the minor detail that to try to put high speed passenger rail in - say, from Chicago to New York - would disrupt the FREIGHT traffic that's already keeping things going, won't work. Maybe if we destroyed everything there, and could rebuild from scratch, it might work. As is, no chance. It literally isn't cost effective or economical.

California is finding that it's a great way to launder money and pay off bribes, and that's about it.

Replies:   Keet
Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@StarFleet Carl

AND the minor detail that to try to put high speed passenger rail in - say, from Chicago to New York - would disrupt the FREIGHT traffic that's already keeping things going, won't work.

Apparently there are some plans/proposals for such a HST: http://www.nychicagorr.org/. I don't know how valid that site is. Interesting to see that Chicago is the center of a spider web for Amtrak tracks.

Replies:   richardshagrin
richardshagrin ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@Keet


Interesting to see that Chicago is the center of a spider web

You should look up the game "Rail Barron", it has about 30 railroads in the fairly early history of railroads in the USA. You are right, the networks look like a spiderweb centered on Chicago. It appears that a lot of railroads wanted to serve Chicago because a lot of passengers and freight needed to get there.

Another good rail game is 1830 that also has Chicago as one of the important destinations although a lot of the action is on the east coast. There are dozens of rail games, no hundreds, and that is just the 18XX variants. Too bad there are no SOL stories based on rail gaming. Boardgamegeek is a fairly good source of information about rail games, and really almost all board games.

Replies:   Keet  StarFleet Carl
Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@richardshagrin

There are dozens of rail games, no hundreds, and that is just the 18XX variants. Too bad there are no SOL stories based on rail gaming.

I'm not really into gaming, but the back stories of some trivia is often interesting.

StarFleet Carl ๐Ÿšซ

@richardshagrin

You should look up the game "Rail Baron", it has about 30 railroads in the fairly early history of railroads in the USA.

We used to play that in college.

The old Comes To Pa Pa - small railroad, important connector.

Chicago got the center of the spiderweb because it was one of the early important cities that was an inland port.

irvmull ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

On my wall is a poster:

"The New Twentieth Century Limited

New York ~ 16 hours ~ Chicago"

Along with artwork showing a very Buck Rogers style locomotive.

The trip was described as follows:

"If leaving from New York, you departed at 6 p.m. and arrived the next morning in Chicago at 8:45 a.m. Settling in for the evening, after boarding the Century in downtown Manhattan, you enjoyed cocktails in the observation car, dinner with views of the Hudson, a good night sleep and then breakfast in bed or in the dining car. Dress was business formal."

Now, the trip is 19 hours. Leaves at 3:40 pm, arrives about 10 am. Note that the schedule in 1930 was perfect for a businessman: leave after work, arrive in time to start work the next day. Not so much anymore.

That's progress?

Replies:   DBActive
DBActive ๐Ÿšซ

@irvmull

Perfect schedule except you lose a day coming back. And the cost would be many multiples of the cost of flying out in the morning and returning the same day.

Replies:   irvmull
irvmull ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@DBActive

How do you figure that? After work in Chicago, you catch the 6pm back to NYC, and arrive there in time to go to work the next morning.

Did you miss the point about this being a century ago, when the US was part of the modern world?
Do you have any idea how much it cost to fly from NYC to Chicago in 1930? Or how long it took?

Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@irvmull

Did you miss the point about this being a century ago, when the US was part of the modern world?

leaving passenger rail behind doesn't make us not part of the modern world when other modes of transportation are both faster and more cost effective.

Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@irvmull

Did you miss the point about this being a century ago, when the US waos part of the modern world?



Unlike Europe, Japan, and China, the US went a different direction after WW2. For Europe, there wasn't much of a choice as large portions of their infrastructure had been bombed out of existence. Japan and China were both late to the game of building a modern infrastructure, and as a result, they had two models to mimic. They chose to follow Europe's model over the US Eisenhower system.

However, to say the US system isn't modern is simply incorrect. It would be better said that it's different.

Replies:   Keet  StarFleet Carl
Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@Remus2

However, to say the US system isn't modern is simply incorrect. It would be better said that it's different.

Correct, and the perception of what is 'modern' changes over time. 10-20 years ago flying was considered more modern than riding a train. Nowadays flying is considered a huge polluter compared to trains which changes the perception of 'modern' from planes to (high speed) trains. That could just as easy change back if they ever manage to convert planes to electric, hydrogen, or hybrid. Or if they invent a Star Trek transporter ;)

Replies:   joyR
joyR ๐Ÿšซ

@Keet

Or if they invent a Star Trek transporter

Does anyone really believe that if a 'transporter' was possible, that it would ever be made public? No government would risk it being obtained by any other government.

The CIA Exposed: T.a.R.P. Cover Up by Ernest Bywater

Replies:   bk69  Remus2
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@joyR

Does anyone really believe that if a 'transporter' was possible, that it would ever be made public? No government would risk it being obtained by any other government.


Does anyone really believe that if a 'nuclear bomb' was possible, that it would ever be made public? No government would risk it being obtained by any other government.


See how flawed the argument is?
If any government owned/controlled the research, there WOULD be other governments whose spies would obtain it for them.

Replies:   Ernest Bywater  joyR
Ernest Bywater ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

If any government owned/controlled the research, there WOULD be other governments whose spies would obtain it for them.

There's a long distance between another government learning of the existence of a newly developed technology and them getting a hold of a working version of it. There's a hell of a lot of secret government research done by a lot of governments and most of it stays secret until such time as the government involved sees a need or reason to make it public.

Even when they make it public it's often soon forgotten.

During WW2 there was a multi-government intelligence gathering project started to gather signals intelligence. The project involved the USA, UK, Australia, NZ, Canada, and France. In the late 1940s it was restructured and better organised then given name of Project Echelon. The analysis of the data was done by the NSA. The project was made public in the late 1960s through a security breach. The project itself was classified as Secret with some aspects of how the analysis was done as being Top Secret. Some details of how Project Echelon worked was leaked to the public again in the 1980s and 1990s. While the existence of the project itself, and its aims, were seen as public knowledge by the year 2000 the details of how the collected data was analysed was still secret. Yet, despite the project being so well known most of the people in the USA and the US media were shocked to learn about it when some of the details of the analysis process was leaked by Snowdon. Yet all he did was make public the name of the commercial data analysis tool that was the main software being used to analyse the collected data at one level of the evaluation process.

All that hullabaloo did was show the world that the USA has some dumb traitors who don't even fully understand what the work they're doing is.

Yet, there are hundreds of other secret USA projects being worked on today that few outside of the projects know the project exists, and many others that the existence of the project is known to the governments of other countries while those governments don't know any of the details of what the project does or how it does it.

joyR ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

If any government owned/controlled the research, there WOULD be other governments whose spies would obtain it for them.

Absolutely.

My point was that if it was possible, it would NOT be made available to the general public for a VERY long time.

Also it was an opportunity to link one of EB's stories that I think deserves more credit.

:)

Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@joyR

Does anyone really believe that if a 'transporter' was possible, that it would ever be made public?



The problem with that is your timeline. Given sufficient time, every secret would leak if their are humans involved. MKUltra was a strong example of that.

Intelligence/military agencies around the world are fully aware of the above. Using MKUltra again as an example, it went on for decades. Dribs and drabs of it leaked out over those decades. Innuendo, slight of hand, ridicule, obfuscation, etc were all used to paint everyone that spoke out as crazy conspiracy theorists. By 75, a FOIA revealed the truth.

The crazy conspiracy theory tactics have turned into a favorite tool of intel/military agencies and politicians world wide. Should teleporter technology ever be developed, you can trust the crazy conspiracy theories tactic to be rolled out to obscure it. However, it would never hold up "forever."

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@Remus2

Innuendo, slight of hand, ridicule, obfuscation, etc were all used to paint everyone that spoke out as crazy conspiracy theorists.

There are no conspiracy theories.

Or rather there is only one.

All conspiracy theories are the product of a CIA disinformation campaign.

#MetaConspiracyTheory

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

MetaConspiracyTheory


That's usually associated with the Q-anon BS. The CIA/NSA doesn't hold a patent on the conspiracy theory tool. Other similar agencies around the world make liberal use of it.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@Remus2

That's usually associated with the Q-anon BS. The CIA/NSA doesn't hold a patent on the conspiracy theory tool.

That's what they want you and Q-anon to believe...

StarFleet Carl ๐Ÿšซ

@Remus2

Unlike Europe, Japan, and China, the US went a different direction after WW2. For Europe, there wasn't much of a choice as large portions of their infrastructure had been bombed out of existence.

Japan was in a similar situation as far as bombing of infrastructure.

Replies:   Remus2
Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@StarFleet Carl

Japan was in a similar situation as far as bombing of infrastructure.


Japan was no where near as bad as Europe with the exception of Nagasaki and Hiroshima. The bombing in Europe started well before the US entered the war. The bombing in the Japanese mainland didn't really kick off in earnest until 1944.
Europe took the lions share of damage during WW2. First from Germany, then from the Allied forces.

StarFleet Carl ๐Ÿšซ

@irvmull

Did you miss the point about this being a century ago, when the US was part of the modern world?

The US is still part of the 'modern' world.

There's this little thing that we have here - the Eisenhower National Defense Highway System - that came into being BEFORE there were ANY high speed rail systems in existence. We have the Interstate Highway system.

We'd just seen what happens when you blow up a railroad track. Well, so much for getting goods from City A to City B, or moving troops and equipment. And we saw how successful the Redball Express was in driving supplies, even over crappy, to non-existent roads.

The OTHER minor detail - Europe has this really annoying tendency to get into a war every forty years or so. Let's not do what they're doing, because their rail network won't survive a war against the Soviet Union anyway.

We built highways and airports. And the airports are far enough from the city center that when the bombs hit the city center (because at that time, we didn't have MIRV's and such), they'd survive.

Bottom line - we built our infrastructure here expecting Europe to get into a war, and for some nukes to hit here, too. But with our Interstate Highway system, you can still get from east coast to west coast in two days simply by driving.

Replies:   Keet
Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@StarFleet Carl

The OTHER minor detail - Europe has this really annoying tendency to get into a war every forty years or so.

Uhm, it's been 75 years since WWII. And Russia is never going to bomb Europe, it's their economical life line, both in import and export.

Replies:   StarFleet Carl
StarFleet Carl ๐Ÿšซ

@Keet

Uhm, it's been 75 years since WWII. And Russia is never going to bomb Europe, it's their economical life line, both in import and export.

That's TODAY, looking back. For one thing, it wasn't Russia, then. It was the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics and the Warsaw Pact, and it looked for a while like that was going to continue, NATO versus WP.

1945-49 - Greek Civil War
1948-49 - Berlin Blockade
1956 - Hungarian Revolution
1968 - Warsaw Pact invasion of Czechoslovakia

Just a few examples.

There's a reason why we (the US) spent so much time working on REFORGER - Return Forces to Germany. Reforger started because of concern with us involved in Vietnam, what would happen if the Warsaw Pact invaded while we were pulling troops OUT of Europe.

It's not like we weren't involved in this little thing called the Cold War, with troops in Berlin and all along the border between East and West Germany. (Again, Berlin Blockade - the Soviet Union was NOT an ally at that point.)

Replies:   Keet
Keet ๐Ÿšซ

@StarFleet Carl

1945-49 - Greek Civil War
1948-49 - Berlin Blockade
1956 - Hungarian Revolution
1968 - Warsaw Pact invasion of Czechoslovakia

Just a few examples.

Even the most recent is over 50 years ago and hardly "Europe" but very local. If you count those incidents then the US was at war way more often and recent with all their interferences in other countries. The point is that no large scale infrastructure damages have been seen for 75 years. The chances of that happening again are slim because it usually means the economical impact on the attacking side is too big too risk.
Even then, future attacks will not be on rail roads or high ways. High ways in the US are just as vulnerable as anywhere else and can be damaged beyond use. No, future attacks can already be seen which target power and water infrastructure. Easier and with a bigger impact.

Replies:   StarFleet Carl
StarFleet Carl ๐Ÿšซ

@Keet

The point is that no large scale infrastructure damages have been seen for 75 years.

That may be the point you're referring to, but that's not the point I'm making. What is the decision and lead time for making the actual infrastructure changes?

This isn't something that you can say on Monday, hey, this is a good idea, and have it up, running, and ready on Friday. It takes no only decades of planning, but decades to implement. We didn't go that way in the US because of what we perceived would best serve the American consumer.

Freedom to 'See the USA in a Chevrolet'.

We could consider doing it now, but you can't retro-build stuff.

Even then, future attacks will not be on rail roads or high ways. High ways in the US are just as vulnerable as anywhere else and can be damaged beyond use. No, future attacks can already be seen which target power and water infrastructure.


You destroy the water plant, cities become unlivable really quickly. That's a wonderful terrorist thing.

However, you're incorrect regarding rail damage versus highway damage. Trains can't dodge or go anywhere that they don't have rails down. You have a nice, double track main line. About 20 minutes with a plasma cutter or a 12" angle grinder, and the next train through derails. You don't have to 'destroy' the tracks.

Roads - just because they're full of potholes, trucks can still get through, or they can detour and go OFF the road. Makes a mess, but they're not dependent ON the rails.

Replies:   bk69  Remus2  Remus2
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@StarFleet Carl

About 20 minutes with a plasma cutter or a 12" angle grinder, and the next train through derails. You don't have to 'destroy' the tracks.

30 seconds with some C4 and you can take out the only bridge across the river without detouring several hours.

Of course, on a railroad bridge, the river probably isn't going to be crossed anywhere else...

Oh, and I could derail a train with about five minute's work. Oxy-acetylene, disconnect the rail without trying to cut through it, roll the rail on its side.

Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@StarFleet Carl

Most railroad tracks use thermite welding. A refractory pack can be set up in less than 30 seconds. For welding, the filler metal is added, but if you light it off sans the filler, it will burn out the track. No need to get fancy with plasma cutters, explosives, or grinders.

Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@StarFleet Carl

We didn't go that way in the US because of what we perceived would best serve the American consumer.

The Eisenhower interstate system didn't start out with a consumer focus.
The nacent version was pushed by General Pershing in 1922. The young Lt. Eisenhower played a role in that. Post WW2, President Eisenhower picked up the baton again. The primary reason being the ability to expedite military convoys. The secondary consumer logic was a political maneuver to sell it to individual states making that state responsible for some of the cost and all of the maintenance.

DBActive ๐Ÿšซ

@irvmull

I can fly from NYC to Chicago round trip for under $300 returning the same day. Taking 1920s fares for the train trip = they're over $1500 in today's dollars for an upper berth on a Pullman. Much much more for a compartment.

joyR ๐Ÿšซ

Getting back towards the actual topic.

Any comments on "Snowpiercer" TV series?

Set more than seven years after the world has become a frozen wasteland, this series centres on the remaining people, who inhabit a gigantic, perpetually-moving train that circles the globe.


Apparently there was enough notice, time and money to construct a railway across an ocean or two, oh, and to adapt the track to a standard gauge. Yes I know it's just TV, but 'suspension of disbelief' only goes so far.

Replies:   bk69  Dominions Son  Remus2
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@joyR

Apparently there was enough notice, time and money to construct a railway across an ocean or two, oh, and to adapt the track to a standard gauge. Yes I know it's just TV, but 'suspension of disbelief' only goes so far.

I'd be more interested in finding out how precisely the train is powered and heated. (Yes, body heat is quite effective, but there'd need to be air exchange with the outside.)

Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@joyR

Yes I know it's just TV, but 'suspension of disbelief' only goes so far.

It was a movie before they tried to put it on TV. And I think there was a book, but I'm not certain.

Replies:   joyR
joyR ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

It was a movie before they tried to put it on TV. And I think there was a book, but I'm not certain.

Yup. It was a French graphic novel entitled "Le Transperceneige".

Remus2 ๐Ÿšซ

@joyR

Any comments on "Snowpiercer" TV series?

You mean other than the copious quantities of modern pharmaceuticals it would require to even be remotely plausible in someone's mind? Nope, got nothing.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@Remus2

copious quantities of modern pharmaceuticals

The correct term is recreational chemistry. :)

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

The correct term is recreational chemistry. :)

Technically "Better living through chemistry" aka recreational pharmaceuticals.

Mushroom ๐Ÿšซ

@PotomacBob

Is there some reason (or reasons) why other countries have been able to build high-speed rail systems and the United State has not?

Ultimately, it failed here because of many factors. Included among them is the high rate of personal vehicles, lack of interest, and interference from various special interests.

The first attempt I remember well, and it was in the early 1980's when Jerry Brown was Governor the first time. He envisioned high speed rail to run from LA to Vegas. And many people liked the idea, as it would remove a lot of cars from the roads and it could then be expanded from there.

Then of all things, environmental groups started to scream, it would kill turtles and the like and it bounced around for a decade, then died.

And in the decades since, the Indian Casinos sucked up a lot of the travel that used to go to Vegas (and even killed Reno), so it came back when he was Governor again from LA to Baghdad by the Bay. But the test track was built literally in the middle of nowhere.

The reason it keeps failing is that it is never attempted in places that matter, and some groups will simply protest anything. If he was smart, the test track would have run from Sacramento to San Francisco. Or Los Angeles to San Diego. Where it might actually be used, not Bakersfield to Merced.

There have been many great proposals in California for such a program, and I watched with interest each time. But all the NIMBY killed each and every program. And it does not help that our national train system is a complete and utter joke.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@Mushroom

And it does not help that our national train system is a complete and utter joke.

Our passenger rail system is a joke. Rail freight in the US works quite well and the simple fact is our rail system is optimized for freight, not passenger service.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

Our passenger rail system is a joke. Rail freight in the US works quite well and the simple fact is our rail system is optimized for freight, not passenger service.

The problem is that they charge way more for rail than is reasonable. It is literally cheaper to fly round trip from LA to NY 4 times than to travel one way by train.

And the things that would have attracted large numbers of potential riders they have all killed. Like dining service, and smoking. A lot of people stopped riding trains in the US way back in 1984 when the smoking ban went into effect.

The way I see it, it's a freaking train. Put a car in the very back for smokers. That way nobody else on the train has to deal with it, and a lot will move back just for that. Today, rail service is more like being locked up for a weekend or week. Get 15 minute stops every few hours, and the modern rail pass does not allow you to switch trains like you could 30 years ago.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@Mushroom

The problem is that they charge way more for rail than is reasonable.

Define reasonable.

Actually, they aren't charging anywhere near what it costs to operate passenger rail.

No passenger rail operator anywhere in the world even manages to break even on operating costs from fares.

The fares are not competitive with other modes of transportation, but they are not unreasonably high when compared to what it actually costs to operate a passenger rail system.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

The fares are not competitive with other modes of transportation, but they are not unreasonably high when compared to what it actually costs to operate a passenger rail system.

The problem is that they are working from an outdated concept of making money.

When trying to compute costs, you can go one of two ways. Either you try to milk as much as you can from each item you sell (cell phone, book, travel ticket), or you can charge less and make it up in volume. Accept less per ticket, and rely on the greater sales to make the money.

Classic case in point, look to videotapes. In the early 1980's, videos cost $80 and up. So the video rental business boomed. Then a decade later, one studio got the idea to charge $25. They made 1/4 of the money per tape, but made much more money as they sold millions as compared to hundreds of thousands of copies of the same movie.

Early cell phones were a small area, because they were so expensive few could afford them. The same with early air fares. Only the rich flew, the rest took trains or busses.

Airlines realized they could cut the price, and sell more seats. Cell phone companies dumped the expensive prices and now everybody owns one. Trains however, went in the opposite direction. Of the three ways to travel, it is the most expensive by far, but in the middle when compared to the convenience of bus or plane.

Put the pricing back where it belongs (in the middle), and more will ride it. Make less per ticket, but with more riders sell more seats. And returning features to actually attract riders.

And yes, most large transit like that relies upon government subsidies. Busses rely on the road network which is paid for by the government, and most airports are paid for in the same way. But the problem is that they are running the trains the Government, with an outdated economic model.

As I have mentioned before, you can not even take the train when traveling on the Government's dime. That to me is insane. If they own the damned system, it should be one of their first choices. "Going from Washington DC to New York or Philadelphia for government business? Take the train."

I understood the time restraint when I had to go from California to Florida for a class under military orders. But when I tried to schedule a return trip by rail (as I could take longer if I wanted), I was amazed that it was not allowed. The cost exceeded my allowed travel budget.

The US Government alone pays for almost 6,000 flights per day on average. And many could be taken off the planes and put on trains, where they are paying themselves. And with no real cost, as most trains travel at under 50% occupancy anyways.

About a decade ago I did a project on this very topic for a business class. Where our government is doing the worst because it even discourages or prohibits it's own employees from using the one system they actually own.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@Mushroom

And yes, most large transit like that relies upon government subsidies. Busses rely on the road network which is paid for by the government, and most airports are paid for in the same way.

For capital costs, not operating costs.

Any business has two types of costs capital costs (the cost of buying plant and equipment) and operating costs.

For a transportation company, capital costs are infrastructure and vehicles. Operating costs are fuel and labor.

For airlines and the inter-city private bus operators like Greyhound none of their operating costs are subsidized. With Amtrak, fairs only cover around 40% of their operating costs.

With any business, there is profit (total revenue = all costs) and there is operating profit (total revenue - only operating costs).

If a business is running at an operating loss (negative operating profit), bankruptcy is inevitable.

Capital costs tend to be fixed, they don't vary with volume.

Operating costs tend to be variable. If you generally can't increase your volume, without a proportionate increase operating costs, so no if you are running an operating loss, you can't fix it by just doing more volume.

You have to find a way to operating more efficiently, less cost per unit volume.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

You have to find a way to operating more efficiently, less cost per unit volume.

Throw three or four extra passenger cars on the end of the train. Minimal increase in operating cost. Now lower costs of tickets to fill the train. Operating cost per passenger will be lower than initially.

Mushroom ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

Throw three or four extra passenger cars on the end of the train. Minimal increase in operating cost. Now lower costs of tickets to fill the train. Operating cost per passenger will be lower than initially.

Exactly. Or hell, they do not even have to add more cars as most trains are at 50% or less occupancy. They could add another 30% riders at no increase in costs.

This is what the airline industry realized, and why they lowered fairs until they were sending full planes instead of planes with a quarter of the seats or more empty.

There are a lot of videos floating around by railfans, showing their trips across the US by train. And the thing that is most striking is how empty they were, even before COVID. That is a sign that they are charging too damned much, and lowering rates to fill more seats would not increase their costs. Two seats sold at 30% less makes you more than an empty seat at 100%.

In most countries, they are running their trains with higher occupancy because they are priced where they should be. My wife is from Argentina, and they traveled everywhere long distance by train. It was cheap, and if you were going to the next state that is how you did it.

Here, that is not done. So they run empty trains instead.

Replies:   Dominions Son
Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@Mushroom

Exactly. Or hell, they do not even have to add more cars as most trains are at 50% or less occupancy. They could add another 30% riders at no increase in costs.

Except from what I've read, Amtrak fares are already too low to fully cover their operating costs, even if every train was full.

You assume that's a solution that they haven't thought of. Maybe they considered it and realized it would never balance out.

Replies:   bk69
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

Except from what I've read, Amtrak fares are already too low to fully cover their operating costs, even if every train was full.

So scrap the union contracts and start over.

The main reason any government employment is problematic is that 'public sector' unions believe that they should be able to force the government to pay insanely high wages because the government can always just increase prices (raise taxes) to cover their pay. 'Public sector' unions should never have been allowed.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

So scrap the union contracts and start over.

The main reason any government employment is problematic is that 'public sector' unions believe that they should be able to force the government to pay insanely high wages because the government can always just increase prices (raise taxes) to cover their pay. 'Public sector' unions should never have been allowed.

The average railroad wage at this time is over $65,000 a year, plus a generous benefit package. And wages and benefits is why no Government run operation will ever break even.

They all run at a loss, every single one of them. So you have to figure which solution is going to lose the least amount of money.

Taking Amtrak from LA to San Francisco costs $65 each way. I can catch a flight for $30 however. And the time is only 1 hour as opposed to 12 hours by train.

I literally could fly from LA to San Francisco for a nice meal, spend the day there, then fly home for less time and money that it would cost to just take the train there.

And even more insane, the same trip by bus is $25, and takes 6 hours. This is repeated over and over if you compare time and cost for those 3 modes of transportation. When the one system run by the government is by far the most expensive, it shows there is a problem.

Then people wonder why some of us resist the government taking over parts of our daily life. Nothing they do is ever cheaper, nothing. I could guarantee that if they gave out the contract for Amtrak and paid the company the same amount of money they spend on it now it would turn a profit every year.

If the government sold cars, they would all be like the Trabant, and priced like a Lincoln.

Dominions Son ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

Throw three or four extra passenger cars on the end of the train. Minimal increase in operating cost. Now lower costs of tickets to fill the train. Operating cost per passenger will be lower than initially.

Until the trains get longer than the stations.

Every passenger train I've been on each car has separate embarkation/disembarkation. The trains can't be longer than the stations.

Replies:   bk69  awnlee jawking  Mushroom
bk69 ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

Until the trains get longer than the stations.

Every passenger train I've been on each car has separate embarkation/disembarkation. The trains can't be longer than the stations.

Allow movement from one car to another, and only have the cars in the middle of the train open doors for disembarkation. Once the innermost cars have nobody moving, allow embarkation on those. It's not rocket surgery.

awnlee jawking ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

Until the trains get longer than the stations.

That has been solved in two ways in the UK. The most common in my experience is for passengers for short stations to be seated in a particular section of the train. But I've also experienced trains pulling into a short station, disembarking the passengers in the front carriages, then pulling forward to disembark the passengers in the rear carriages.

AJ

Mushroom ๐Ÿšซ

@Dominions Son

Until the trains get longer than the stations.

Easily solved, as others have said. All passengers only board and leave at the part of the train at the station. That was how it was handled at the Boise Union Station in the 1970's when Amtrak started stopping there again. The trains were much longer than the station platform was.

We saw this in California many times, as earthquakes have caused rail in both the Bay Area and LA add a lot more cars when bridges collapsed. They did not expand the stations, or restrict the trains to the length of stations. Just add more cars, and you left from the front.

Hell, I have even seen them use no station, simply create one with temporary buildings on the side of the rail and you got on and off from a gravel covered dirt area with generators giving lighting at night. Stations were created just like that in Lancaster, Palmdale, Santa Clarita, Acton, and many other areas. And none of the existing stations other than LA Union Station could "handle" the trains that were 50% longer than before the quake. But they all adapted just fine.

After the 1994 Northridge Earthquake they did that all over the LA area. And even the surface Metro trains will run special long cars regularly during Laker games, which are longer than the street stations can handle.

Stay in the front if you are riding from Union Station (or Long Beach) to the Staples Center, move to the back if you are going farther down the line.

oyster50 ๐Ÿšซ

@bk69

Throw three or four extra passenger cars on the end of the train. Minimal increase in operating cost.


You do realize that in most cases, freight trains are slow as mud, don't you?

Further, they do not end up at actual passenger train stations. Makes the idea of catching a tramp steamer come back to haunt somebody.

Replies:   Mushroom  palamedes
Mushroom ๐Ÿšซ

@oyster50

You do realize that in most cases, freight trains are slow as mud, don't you?

Not really. There is the speed at which they travel (average of 60 mph), then factor in that most can travel for longer periods of time than a single crew rotation without stopping.

Those "endurance runs" is what makes up the time during a run. You can theoretically drive from LA to New York in less than 2 days. But then you have bathroom stops, food stops, fuel stops, and rest stops. That makes it normally around 4-5 days.

Freight trains make the same trip in around 72 hours. Longer than a "non-stop" car trip, but faster than a car on a realistic drive of that distance. Most trains travel around 300 miles, then stop for 15 minutes for a crew change and go another 300 miles. In some areas they are even known to bring 2 crews, so changeover is a 5 minute stop then they move again.

I have driven the I-10 many times over the years, with the rail tracks within easy sight of the freeway from Eastern California to Eastern Texas. And I would often pass a train, then after stopping for gas and a pit stop be passing the train yet again an hour later as it did not stop.

And see that repeat over and over until I would stop for the night, and it would just keep going. Putting in several hundred more miles as I slept.

palamedes ๐Ÿšซ

@oyster50

You do realize that in most cases, freight trains are slow as mud, don't you?

Freight trains are slow to start and take longer to stop but they are far from slow as mud. Yes in some parts they will slow down do to population (cities/towns) but in general they travel at a constant speed of 50mph (80Kph). Slow as mud and I can get plenty of car drivers who agree is on any of my farm tractors when best top speed is 17mph (27Kph) going down hill with the wind.

Replies:   Mushroom
Mushroom ๐Ÿšซ

@palamedes

Yes in some parts they will slow down do to population (cities/towns) but in general they travel at a constant speed of 50mph (80Kph).

And that is what makes them endurance champs. Just compare it to 24 Hours at Le Mans. The average race speed is only around 125 MPH, but the drives go on and on and on for 24 hours, so winning distances in that 1 day race are over 3,000 miles.

That is longer than the distance from LA to New York, but the fact that the the drivers and crews can change and stops are for a few minutes at most, this lets them rack up impressive miles.

I have done a single "Iron Butt" ride, and will never do another. It was a competition ride round trip from San Diego to Sacramento and back. 1,000 miles on a motorcycle in under 24 hours. I did just over 700 miles my first day (San Diego to Sacramento, back down to Bakersfield), and finished it after a 6 hour overnight.

Those that do the serious rallies actually do 11,000 miles in 11 days. That is longer than going New York to LA 3.5 times, in a week and a half.

Tw0Cr0ws ๐Ÿšซ
Updated:

@PotomacBob


Is there some reason (or reasons) why other countries have been able to build high-speed rail systems and the United State has not?

Mountain ranges, the countries that do have high speed rail build them parallel to them most of the time.

Unless you only want to go North and South in the US you will need very long straight (incredibly expensive) tunnels otherwise your speed will be as slow as freight trains through the mountains which is no better than a car and far slower than an airplane. No doubt when you start planning the routes it will be discovered that some animal or plant lives there and only there which will bring the environmentalist groups into opposition, being that they normally support the only party that would back the rail project that will probably kill it off.

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